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London house prices fall up to £300,000 in wealthy boroughs

Created at 19 Aug · 10:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

House prices in London's most affluent areas have seen significant declines, with some postcodes experiencing a drop of nearly £300,000 year-on-year. The average price in Westminster fell by 25.4% to £854,000 in the year to June.

Key Numbers

£300,000maximum year-on-year price fall in London boroughs
2.5%London's average house price fall year-on-year to June
£554,000London's average house price to June
25.4%average house price fall in Westminster year-on-year to June
£854,000average house price in Westminster to June
£291,000drop in Westminster average house price in one year
14.7%average house price fall in Kensington and Chelsea year-on-year to June
£1,250,000average house price in Kensington and Chelsea to June
13.3%average house price fall in Hammersmith and Fulham year-on-year to June
£726,000average house price in Hammersmith and Fulham to June
7.1%average house price fall in Camden year-on-year to June
£833,000average house price in Camden to June
2%average house price growth across the UK to June
£272,000average house price across the UK to June

Who's Involved

Office for National Statistics (ONS)
provided data on London and UK house prices
Paige Tao
economist at PwC commenting on London's market
Jonathan Hopper
chief executive of property portal Garrington
Knight Frank
property advisers forecasting market trends
Tom Bill
head of UK residential research at Knight Frank
London house prices fall up to £300,000 in wealthy boroughs

↳ Why This Matters

The significant drop in house prices in London's most expensive areas indicates a broader cooling of the UK property market, particularly affecting high-value segments and potentially impacting wealth sentiment and related sectors.

Key facts

  • House prices in London's wealthiest boroughs have fallen significantly, with some areas seeing drops of up to £300,000 year-on-year.
  • The average house price in Westminster fell by 25.4% to £854,000 in the year to June.
  • Kensington and Chelsea saw an average price drop of 14.7% to £1,250,000.
  • London's overall average house price decreased by 2.5% to £554,000 in the year to June.
  • The rest of the UK experienced a 2% growth in average house prices to £272,000 in June.

House prices in London's most affluent areas have experienced significant declines, with some postcodes seeing values drop by nearly £300,000 year-on-year in June. The overall average house price in London fell by 2.5% to £554,000 in the year to June, a softer decline than the previous month's 3.1% drop.

However, specific high-value boroughs suffered more pronounced falls. Westminster, which includes areas like Mayfair and Belgravia, saw its average house price plummet by 25.4% to £854,000, a decrease of £291,000 in just one year. Kensington and Chelsea experienced a 14.7% slip to an average of £1,250,000. Other boroughs also saw notable decreases, with Hammersmith and Fulham down 13.3% to £726,000 and Camden down 7.1% to £833,000.

This marks the tenth consecutive month of value stripping in the capital's housing market. In contrast, the rest of the UK has seen modest growth, although this slowed to 2% in June, bringing the national average house price to £272,000.

Property experts attribute London's underperformance to a combination of factors, including higher mortgage rates influenced by the Iran war, disproportionately high stamp duty, high starting valuations, and greater sensitivity to international demand. Despite the recent falls, some analysts suggest that prices may have bottomed out, with a potential return of tactical buyers to the market. However, rising inflation and speculation about potential tax hikes are expected to keep prices largely flat for the remainder of the year.

Frequently asked questions

London's average house price has fallen by 2.5% year-on-year to June, marking the tenth consecutive month of value decline.

Westminster has seen the largest drop, with a 25.4% decrease, followed by Kensington and Chelsea (14.7%), Hammersmith and Fulham (13.3%), and Camden (7.1%).

While London's prices are falling, the rest of the UK has experienced modest growth, albeit at a slower pace in June.

Factors include higher mortgage rates linked to the Iran war, high transaction costs, high starting valuations, and sensitivity to international demand.

What Happens Next

01Prices are expected to remain largely flat until the end of the year.
02Autumn activity may increase if mortgage rates stabilize and pre-Budget speculation subsides.

How It Developed

London's average house price slipped by 2.5% to £554,000 in the year to June.
The average house price in Westminster fell by 25.4% to £854,000.
In Kensington and Chelsea, the average house price slipped by 14.7% to £1,250,000.
In Hammersmith and Fulham, house prices fell by 13.3% to £726,000.
Camden saw a 7.1% drop to £833,000.
The rest of the UK saw modest growth, slowing to 2% in June.
Property experts cite higher mortgage rates due to the Iran war and high transaction costs as factors impacting London's market.
Some analysts suggest London's market may have bottomed out, with tactical buyers returning.

Sources

T1
House prices in wealthy London boroughs fall by up to £300,000City AM

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