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US home prices rose 1.5% in June, but declined in real terms

Created at 25 Aug · 3:26 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

National home prices increased by 1.5% annually in June, up from 1.2% in May, according to the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index. However, with inflation at 3.5%, U.S. home values fell in real terms for the 13th consecutive month.

Key Numbers

1.5%annual home price growth in June
336.66national Case-Shiller Index reading
1.2%year-over-year home price gain in May
3.5%annual inflation rate in June
13consecutive months of real home value decline
0.4%month-over-month national index rise in June
$442,500median list price for week ending August 22, 2026
-1.6%year-over-year change in median list price
-1.5%month-over-month change in median list price
+29.4%annual median list price growth in Ocean City, NJ
+27.5%annual median list price growth in Grand Forks, ND-MN
+20.9%annual median list price growth in Pine Bluff, AR
2.9%10-city composite index annual growth
2.1%20-city composite index annual growth
0.5%monthly gain for 10-city index
0.4%monthly gain for 20-city index
6.9%annual price gain in Chicago
4.8%annual price gain in New York
4.1%annual price gain in Cleveland
-2.0%price decline in Seattle
-1.9%price decline in Los Angeles
-1.24%price decline in Denver
6.5%30-year mortgage rates in June

Who's Involved

S&P Dow Jones Indices
Provider of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Rebecca Kaufman
Associate director of commodities at S&P Dow Jones Indices
HousingWire Data
Source for more up-to-date home price appreciation data
US home prices rose 1.5% in June, but declined in real terms

↳ Why This Matters

While nominal home prices are showing modest gains, the persistent decline in real terms due to inflation indicates that housing affordability remains a challenge for many prospective buyers. High mortgage rates further exacerbate this issue, impacting market activity and homeowner decisions.

Key facts

  • National home prices rose 1.5% annually in June, up from 1.2% in May.
  • U.S. home values fell in real terms for the 13th consecutive month due to inflation exceeding price growth.
  • The 10-city and 20-city composite indexes also showed accelerated annual home price growth.
  • HousingWire Data shows a year-over-year decrease in median list prices for the week ending August 22, 2026.
  • High mortgage rates are keeping current homeowners reluctant to sell.

Home price growth in the U.S. accelerated in June, with the national S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index rising 1.5% year-over-year, an increase from May's 1.2% gain. However, when adjusted for inflation, which stood at 3.5% in June, home values have continued to decline in real terms for the thirteenth consecutive month.

On a month-over-month basis, the national index saw a 0.4% increase. Rebecca Kaufman, associate director of commodities at S&P Dow Jones Indices, noted that while prices are still falling in real terms, lower inflation and firmer nominal growth slowed the pace of this erosion.

More current data from HousingWire indicates a softening in home price appreciation for the week ending August 22, 2026. The median list price was $442,500, down 1.6% from a year ago and 1.5% from the previous month. Notable annual median list price growth was observed in Ocean City, New Jersey (+29.4%), Grand Forks, North Dakota-Minnesota (+27.5%), and Pine Bluff, Arkansas (+20.9%).

The 10-city and 20-city composite indexes also reported faster annual home price growth in June, with increases of 2.9% and 2.1% respectively, up from 2.4% and 1.6% in May. Monthly gains were 0.5% for the 10-city index and 0.4% for the 20-city index. Chicago led the 20 cities with a 6.9% annual price increase, followed by New York (4.8%) and Cleveland (4.1%). Seattle experienced the largest price decline at 2.0%, followed by Los Angeles (-1.9%) and Denver (-1.24%).

Kaufman attributed the geographic divide to a trend where Northeastern and Midwestern markets are strengthening, while Western and Sunbelt markets are softening. She anticipates further moderation in price appreciation and market activity as the market moves into the fall, typically a cooler period after the peak homebuying season. High financing costs, with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% in June, are also contributing to homeowners' reluctance to sell.

Frequently asked questions

The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index is a widely followed measure of U.S. residential real estate prices, tracking changes in the value of single-family homes.

Home prices are declining in real terms because the annual rate of inflation (3.5% in June) is higher than the annual nominal home price growth (1.5% in June), meaning the purchasing power of home values is decreasing.

Among the 20 cities examined by Case-Shiller, Chicago posted the largest annual price gain at 6.9%, followed by New York (4.8%) and Cleveland (4.1%).

Seattle posted the largest price decline at 2.0%, followed by Los Angeles (-1.9%) and Denver (-1.24%).

What Happens Next

01Expect softer price appreciation and market activity as the market moves into the fall.
02Homeowners are likely to remain reluctant to sell due to secured low mortgage rates.

How It Developed

The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index showed national home prices rose 1.5% annually in June.
This marks an acceleration from the 1.2% year-over-year gain reported in May.
With inflation at 3.5% in June, U.S. home values declined in real terms for the 13th consecutive month.
Month-over-month, the national index increased by 0.4% in June.
HousingWire Data indicated softer home price appreciation for the week ending August 22, 2026, with the median list price down 1.6% year-over-year.
Ocean City, New Jersey, Grand Forks, North Dakota-Minnesota, and Pine Bluff, Arkansas, showed the largest annual median list price growth.
The 10-city and 20-city composite indexes also saw accelerated annual home price growth in June.
Chicago posted the largest annual price gain among the 20 cities, while Seattle saw the largest decline.

Sources

T1
Home prices rose faster in June, however inflation still wonHousingWire

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