Key facts
- Latino support for Republicans fell to 30% from 48% in 2024, a 28-point shift, per a New York Times analysis.
- Asian American voters showed the next largest shift at 17%, the analysis cited by the Guardian said.
- Democrat Bobby Pulido flipped Texas district 15, which is 81% Hispanic, by 24 percentage points with 95% counted.
- Democrat Gina Hinojosa became Texas's first Latino governor, the Guardian reported.
- Democrat Xavier Becerra became California's first elected Latino governor, the Guardian reported.
- Trump won Miami-Dade by 15 points in 2024; Republican Maria Elvira Salazar's race there was neck and neck.
Latino voters shifted sharply toward Democrats in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections, with Republican support falling to 30% from 48% in the 2024 presidential race, according to a New York Times analysis of voter trends cited by the Guardian. The 28-point swing was larger than any other demographic group, the analysis said, with Asian American voters showing the next largest shift at 17%.
The shift helped Democrats win both the House of Representatives and the Senate, as well as governor's seats in Texas, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, the Guardian reported. In Texas, Democrats won all four congressional districts along the border with Mexico, including three that Republicans had redrawn to bolster their House control.
Texas elected Democrat Gina Hinojosa as its first Latino governor, and California elected Democrat Xavier Becerra as its first elected Latino governor, the Guardian reported. In Texas district 15, which is 81% Hispanic, Democrat and Tejano music star Bobby Pulido defeated Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz by 24 percentage points with 95% of ballots counted.
Benny Melendez, a small housebuilding company owner in Weslaco, Texas, who voted for Trump in 2024, said he voted Democratic after two cousins and up to 15 of his workers were detained and deported to Mexico by ICE. "They're taking our neighbors. They're taking our friends. They're they're taking our workers, and they're taking our family members," he said.
Stephanie Valencia, co-founder of polling firm Equis Research, said the result was a message from voters. "People have called us the sleeping giant for a long time, and now we're really the swinging giant," she said, adding that Democrats face a "probationary period with voters."
In Florida, Latino voters swung toward Democrats in Miami-Dade, where Republican incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar was in a neck-and-neck race with Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, the Guardian reported. Trump won Miami-Dade by 15 points in 2024.