Key facts
- The Israel-Gaza war is a major issue driving divisions within the Democratic Party.
- Progressive Democrats are increasingly vocal against Israel's actions and US support.
- Pro-Israel groups are spending heavily to support moderate candidates and oppose progressives.
- Polls show a significant portion of Democrats believe Israel has committed genocide in Gaza and that the US is too supportive of Israel.
- Recent primary races have seen candidates taking strong stances on the conflict, with mixed results for both progressive and establishment picks.
The ongoing conflict in Gaza has become a significant and divisive issue within the Democratic Party, influencing primary races and highlighting a split between progressive and moderate factions. Candidates are navigating a complex landscape where stances on the war can serve as a litmus test for authenticity and a symbol of willingness to challenge the status quo.
In Michigan's competitive Senate race, Democratic contender Abdul El-Sayed has directly criticized pro-Israel groups like AIPAC, linking their political spending to US involvement in foreign wars and accusing them of supporting actions in Gaza. He argues for prioritizing domestic investment over overseas military aid. His opponent, Representative Haley Stevens, who has benefited from pro-Israel spending, countered by asserting her independence and commitment to her constituents, stating that her vote is not owned by any group.
Recent polling indicates a growing segment of the American public, particularly Democrats, believe Israel has committed genocide in Gaza and that the US is overly supportive of the country. This sentiment is also shifting among older Democrats. Former Obama official Rahm Emanuel's recent remarks suggesting an end to US military aid to Israel and a refusal to accept AIPAC funding reflect this evolving dynamic within the party.
The influence of foreign policy and political spending is particularly evident in Michigan's primaries, where AIPAC-affiliated groups have invested heavily. However, progressive candidates have also seen successes in other states, with democratic socialists winning against incumbents in New York and Colorado, and a doctor who worked in Gaza winning a primary in New Jersey. Despite these wins, establishment candidates backed by pro-Israel groups continue to secure victories in many races.
Groups like J Street acknowledge that while foreign policy is not always a top voter concern, it can be a key differentiator in primaries. Candidates' willingness to challenge established foreign policy norms can signal to voters their broader commitment to change. The issue is also intertwined with progressive platforms addressing affordability and the influence of money in politics, with some voters viewing a stance on Gaza as a measure of a politician's integrity and authenticity.
Discourse surrounding the conflict has become heated, with some candidates facing protests and accusations of bullying. The salience of the Israel-Gaza issue in general elections, particularly in swing districts, remains to be seen, but its prominence in Democratic primaries is undeniable.