All NewsEducationTV
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
All NewsHome
← Back to Commodities & Energy

India's Russian Oil Imports Decline From Record High Amid Supply Constraints

Created at 26 Aug · 12:56 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

India's crude oil imports from Russia have decreased in August from July's record high due to Ukrainian attacks on Russian export infrastructure and increased competition from China. Imports are expected to stabilize above 2 million barrels per day.

Key Numbers

2.8 million bpdIndia's Russian oil imports in July
2.7 million bpdIndia's Russian oil imports in June
2 million bpdProjected India's Russian oil imports in August

Who's Involved

Sumit Ritolia
Manager Modelling Refinery and Oil Markets at Kpler
Kpler
Energy flows analytics firm
India's Russian Oil Imports Decline From Record High Amid Supply Constraints

↳ Why This Matters

The shift in India's oil import patterns highlights geopolitical risks impacting global energy supply chains and highlights the increasing competition for discounted Russian crude, potentially influencing global oil prices and trade flows.

Key facts

  • India's Russian oil imports fell in August from a record high in July.
  • July imports reached 2.8 million barrels per day, over half of India's total crude imports.
  • August imports are expected to decline to about 2 million barrels per day.
  • Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure and Chinese demand are cited as reasons for the decline.
  • Indian refiners are diversifying supply sources, including West Africa and the Americas.

India's imports of Russian crude oil have decreased in August from a record high in July, influenced by Ukrainian attacks on Russian export facilities and increased competition from China for Russian barrels. In July, India's imports of Russian oil hit a new all-time high, accounting for more than half of its total crude oil imports, reaching 2.8 million barrels per day. This volume was up from the previous high of 2.7 million barrels per day in June.

According to Sumit Ritolia, Manager Modelling Refinery and Oil Markets at energy analytics firm Kpler, India's imports of Russian crude oil are set to decline to about 2 million barrels per day in August. Going forward, purchases from Russia are expected to stabilize at just above 2 million barrels per day.

The recent pullback in imports is attributed to several factors. Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries have hampered Russia's ability to export available crude. Additionally, China has intensified its buying of cheaper Russian crude, reducing the supply available for India. Consequently, Indian refiners are actively seeking alternative sources, including from West Africa and the Americas, to meet anticipated demand growth.

Indian state-controlled oil refiners are also facing constraints on term deliveries due to the ongoing crisis in the Middle East and its impact on the Strait of Hormuz. In recent weeks, these refiners have increased their spot crude purchases from West Africa as Middle Eastern supply has become less certain.

Frequently asked questions

India's Russian oil imports reached a record high of 2.8 million barrels per day in July.

The decline is due to Ukrainian attacks on Russian export infrastructure and increased competition from China for Russian crude.

Indian refiners are looking for alternative supplies from West Africa and the Americas.

What Happens Next

01India's Russian oil imports are expected to stabilize above 2 million bpd.
02Indian refiners will continue seeking alternative crude supplies.
CME Headlines
  • Live Cattle futures hit lowest price since December.
    25 Aug · 9:27 PM
  • Live Cattle futures hit lowest price since December.
    25 Aug · 9:27 PM
  • Corn futures mark fifth straight gain as crop ratings decline.
    25 Aug · 9:26 PM

How It Developed

India's crude oil imports from Russia reached a new all-time high in July, exceeding half of total imports.
Russian oil imports averaged 2.8 million barrels per day in July, up from June's 2.7 million bpd.
Imports are projected to fall to approximately 2 million bpd in August.
Purchases from Russia are expected to stabilize above 2 million bpd going forward.
Ukrainian attacks on Russian export infrastructure have limited Russia's export capacity.
China's increased demand for Russian crude is reducing availability for India.
Indian refiners are seeking alternative supplies from West Africa and the Americas.
Term deliveries are constrained by the Middle East crisis and Strait of Hormuz disruptions.

Sources

T1
India’s Russian Oil Imports Slide From Record High as Supply TightensOilPrice.com

Related Stories

India's sugar shortage threatens festive season amid production woes
26 Aug · 9:26 AM
Oil Prices Fall as Iran-Oman Talks Raise Hopes for Strait of Hormuz Reopening
26 Aug · 2:11 AM
Kazakh refinery to process Russian crude, send fuel back to Russia amid shortages
25 Aug · 8:20 PM
Seven Tankers Loading Iraqi Crude at Once
25 Aug · 7:46 PM
Saudi Arabia Reroutes Oil Exports Amid Red Sea Security Concerns
26 Aug · 9:16 AM