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Honda may not build new North American plant without trade deal extension

Created at 25 Aug · 3:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Honda Executive Vice President Noriya Kaihara stated that the automaker might not build a new assembly plant in North America unless the USMCA trade deal is extended. The company needs to make a decision within one to two years, aiming for the plant to be operational by 2030.

Key Numbers

within a year or twodecision timeframe for new plant
around 2030target operational date for new plant
$15-billionsuspended EV complex investment in Ontario
240,000annual EV production target for suspended project
90 percentNorth American factory utilization rate
1.8 millionmaximum annual vehicle capacity in North America
85 percentU.S. factory utilization rate
1.2 millionmaximum annual U.S. factory capacity

Who's Involved

Honda
Japanese automaker considering new North American plant
Noriya Kaihara
Honda Executive Vice President
Toshihiro Mibe
Honda CEO
Donald Trump
U.S. President negotiating USMCA
Honda may not build new North American plant without trade deal extension

↳ Why This Matters

Honda's potential decision to halt new North American plant construction without a trade deal extension highlights the critical role of trade agreements in automotive investment and supply chain stability. The suspension of its EV project also signals broader challenges in the electric vehicle market.

Key facts

  • Honda may not build a new North American assembly plant without an extension of the USMCA trade deal.
  • The automaker is nearing full production capacity in North America and requires additional facilities.
  • A decision on the new plant is expected within one to two years, with an operational target of 2030.
  • Honda has indefinitely suspended a $15-billion electric vehicle complex project in Ontario, Canada.
  • The suspension of the EV project is attributed to waning consumer demand and shifting business conditions.

Honda may reconsider plans for a new assembly plant in North America if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) trade deal is not extended, according to a senior executive. Noriya Kaihara, Honda Executive Vice President, told reporters in Washington that the automaker is nearing full production capacity across its North American facilities and requires a new factory to meet demand. He indicated that a decision on the plant, which the company hopes to have operational by around 2030, needs to be made within the next one to two years.

This statement comes as the Trump administration is in negotiations with Canada and Mexico regarding the future of the trade deal. Kaihara suggested that without a renewed USMCA agreement, Honda might alter its expansion strategy.

In a separate development, Honda has indefinitely suspended its $15-billion plan to build an electric vehicle (EV) complex in Ontario, Canada. The company cited evolving business conditions, a shift in its external resource strategy, and changing customer demand as reasons for shelving the project. This EV complex was intended to produce up to 240,000 EVs annually, primarily for the U.S. market, and was supported by significant government funding.

The suspension of the EV project reflects broader trends in the automotive industry, where several manufacturers are scaling back electrification plans due to decreased consumer demand for EVs and policy shifts. Honda's U.S. factories are operating at 85 percent of their 1.2 million total capacity, while all North American facilities are at 90 percent of their 1.8 million capacity. A new plant would provide additional flexibility and support growth in the region, which represents Honda's largest and most profitable market.

Frequently asked questions

Honda may not build a new plant if the USMCA trade deal is not extended, as this impacts their strategic direction and investment decisions.

The USMCA is the free trade agreement currently being negotiated by the Trump administration with Canada and Mexico.

Honda had a $15-billion plan to build an EV complex in Ontario, Canada, which has been indefinitely suspended due to waning consumer demand and changing business conditions.

Honda's U.S. factories operate at 85 percent of their capacity, and all North American facilities are at 90 percent of their total capacity.

What Happens Next

01Honda will make a decision on building a new North American plant within one to two years.
02The company aims for a new plant to be operational by around 2030.
CME Headlines
  • September 2026 Delivery Date Memo - Effective August 24, 2026
    24 Aug · 4:34 PM

How It Developed

Honda Executive Vice President Noriya Kaihara indicated a new North American assembly plant might not be built without a USMCA extension.
Kaihara stated Honda is close to full production capacity in North America and needs a new factory.
The executive mentioned a decision is needed within one to two years, with a target operational date of around 2030.
Honda indefinitely suspended a $15-billion plan to build an EV complex in Ontario, citing waning consumer demand and changing business conditions.
The suspended EV project would have produced up to 240,000 EVs annually, mostly for the U.S. market.
Honda cited "evolving business conditions, a change in external resource strategy and shifting customer demand" for shelving the EV value chain project.
Carmakers are experiencing reduced demand for EVs and are taking writedowns on electrification plans.

Sources

T1
Honda says it may not build new plant in North America without trade deal extensionReuters
T2
Honda CEO Is Considering Building a New Factory in North Americacaranddriver.com
T2
Honda’s suspension of Ontario EV project deals another blow to auto sector - The Globe and Mailtheglobeandmail.com

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