Key facts
- China's economy is forecast to grow 4.4% year-on-year in Q3 2026.
- Robust exports are supporting the Chinese economy.
- Domestic demand, including consumer spending and property investment, remains weak.
- The government's full-year growth target is 4.5% to 5%.
China's economy is expected to have grown 4.4% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2026, reflecting a slight acceleration from the previous quarter. This projection is based on the average forecast from a Caixin survey of economists. Strong export performance is providing a significant boost to the world's second-largest economy. However, persistent weakness in domestic demand, particularly in consumer spending and property investment, presents challenges in achieving the government's full-year growth target of 4.5% to 5%.