Key facts
- Andy Burnham is campaigning on local issues for the Makerfield by-election.
- Burnham's potential victory could lead to a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer.
- The right-wing vote is expected to be split between Reform UK and Restore Britain.
- Burnham's platform emphasizes addressing post-industrial neglect and promoting 'business friendly socialism'.
- Reform UK and Restore Britain share hardline immigration policies.
- Labour is dedicating substantial resources to secure the Makerfield seat.
Andy Burnham, the Mayor of Greater Manchester, is focusing on local issues in the upcoming Makerfield by-election, a strategic move that could position him for a potential leadership challenge against Prime Minister Keir Starmer. The election, just three days away, is seen as a significant contest that could influence the future leadership of the Labour Party.
Opinion polls suggest Burnham has a lead, partly due to a division in the right-wing vote between Nigel Farage's Reform UK and Rupert Lowe's splinter party, Restore Britain. Both parties advocate for hardline immigration policies, with Restore Britain's stance potentially undermining Reform UK's chances. Farage has warned that voting for Restore could inadvertently lead to a left-wing prime minister.
Burnham's campaign narrative centers on addressing the post-industrial neglect in the Makerfield area, stemming from the decline of its mining and manufacturing industries. He advocates for a 'business friendly socialism' approach, focusing on housing and services. Despite the 'Red Wall' heritage of the constituency, its current demographic is described as aspirational middle-class commuters.
The Labour Party is investing considerable resources to defend the seat, with cabinet ministers making visits to support Burnham's campaign. The outcome of the election is expected to be decided by local voters, with some expressing support for Burnham based on his perceived commitment to the community.