Key facts
- July-August weather is most critical for final corn and soybean yields.
- Favorable weather is projected for the second half of June.
- There is virtually no correlation between initial corn/soy ratings or June weather and final yields.
- Better Midwest rain is probable in the 6-10 day period.
- Models show an eastward expansion of Central US rainfall after this weekend.
The discussion centers on the critical weather patterns for central US agriculture, particularly focusing on the July-August period which is most influential for final corn and soybean yields. While projections indicate non-threatening, even favorable, weather into the second half of June, the analysis emphasizes that initial corn and soybean ratings or June weather conditions have virtually no correlation with the ultimate yields. The report highlights the importance of monitoring weather developments during the crucial summer months. Better Midwest rain is probable in the 6-10 day period, with the best-performing models maintaining an eastward expansion of Central US rainfall after this weekend. The EU, AI, and Canadian models have been consistent with this forecast.