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Dollar near 19-month high on Fed hike bets, yen tests 160

Reuters
Dollar near 19-month high on Fed hike bets, yen tests 160

SHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Nov 13 (Reuters) - The dollar held near a 19-month ‌high on Friday after a strong week of gains on rising bets of a larger Federal Reserve rate hike, pushing the Japanese yen back near the key ​160 mark ‌that has left traders on alert for intervention.

Treasury yields rose after US President Donald Trump ‌said the US does not need a deal with Iran and as traders weighed the chance of a larger-than-usual Federal Reserve rate hike next month. Two-year Treasury yields gained 34 basis points over ‌the past two sessions, the sharpest two-day rise in 3-1/2 years.

The euro dropped 0.1% to $1.1049, hovering near its lowest level against the dollar since April 2025. For the week, it was down 0.8%, on track for its largest weekly loss since late September.

Fed officials this week warned that US inflation remains stubbornly elevated, ⁠with some signalling openness to a 50-basis-point rate increase if price pressures fail to ease. Traders are pricing ‌in a 14.5% chance of a large ⁠hike next month, up from 0% last week, the CME FedWatch tool showed.

Investors are also keeping an ​eye on upheaval in technology stocks in the wake of Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's departure, in a sector already pressured by funding and regulatory concerns.

"If we do see a further sharp ​selloff in equity markets, that could be a negative for the US dollar," said Carol ​Kong, currency ‌strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

"But I think there's a possibility it can continue its strong momentum ​in the near term, particularly with Fed officials speaking next week. If we see further support ⁠for a 50-basis-point hike, there's further upside in the dollar too."

The ‌Japanese yen ​was largely unchanged at 159.875 per dollar, near its lowest level since ​early September, fuelling intervention concerns.

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Friday that the government will respond appropriately to currency volatility as the yen briefly hit the key 160-per-dollar line on Thursday.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last down 0.05% ‌at 103.17, remaining at its highest since April 2025.

The Australian dollar has fallen about 2.5% over the past month, making it the worst-performing G10 currency against the greenback and the only one where rate ‌cuts are being priced in ​for next year. It was last at $0.68 in early trading. [AUD/]

The dollar was largely steady against the Swiss franc at 0.835, hovering near a one-month high.

US crude futures closed 2.55% higher on Thursday after attacks by Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis on Saudi energy infrastructure escalated and shipping disruptions persisted in the Strait of ‌Hormuz.

(Reporting by Li Gu in Shanghai and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Sonali Paul)