All NewsEducationTV
Equities & FundsCrypto & Digital AssetsAI & TechnologyBusiness & CorporateUS Politics & PolicyGeopolitics & Global RiskMacro, Rates & FXCommodities & EnergyEuropean Politics & MarketsAsia-PacificReal Estate & Property
Story archiveAll categories
← All Stories

US Stocks Tumble, Treasury Yields Surge After Fed Holds Rates

Created at 29 Jul · 9:04 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

U.S. stocks fell and long-dated Treasury yields hit multi-decade highs after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged. The rout in South Korean stocks, particularly in the chip sector, also intensified, raising concerns about leverage.

✉Newsletter

PiQ Daily

Pick your topics. Get only what matters, on your cadence.

Key Numbers

55%chance of September rate hike indicated by futures
12 bps30-year Treasury yield increase
5.2%30-year Treasury yield level
-7%South Korea stock market decline
-33%South Korea stock market July decline
-1.7%Nasdaq decline
-2%Dow Jones Industrial Average decline
-1.5%S&P 500 decline
-5.3%SOX chip index decline
-3.5%Industrials sector decline
-2.5%Tech sector decline
+2%Energy sector increase
+4%Microsoft stock increase
-8%
Meta stock decrease
-9%Qualcomm stock decrease
0.5%Dollar slide after Fed
7-8%Oil price increase
3.75%Bank of England base rate expectation
25 bpsexpected BoE rate hike by year-end
25 bpsexpected BoE rate hike by March
6%potential long-dated gilt yield level

Who's Involved

Federal Reserve
held interest rates steady, with three policymakers dissenting
Jamie McGeever
author of the column
SK Hynix
chipmaker whose results disappointed
Goldman Sachs
commented on Fed policy uncertainty
Kevin Warsh
Fed Chair who described policy discussion
JPMorgan
strategists estimating tech deleveraging
Bank of England
expected to announce policy decision

↳ Why This Matters

The Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady, coupled with dissent from some policymakers, has created uncertainty about future monetary policy and contributed to significant market volatility across equities and bonds. The sharp decline in chip stocks, both in South Korea and the U.S., signals potential broader economic headwinds and raises concerns about leverage within the technology sec

Key facts

  • The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate, with three policymakers dissenting.
  • U.S. stock indices including the Nasdaq, Dow, and S&P 500 experienced significant declines.
  • Long-dated U.S. Treasury yields, especially the 30-year, reached multi-decade highs.
  • South Korean stocks, particularly chipmakers like SK Hynix, saw a historic sell-off.
  • The semiconductor index in the U.S. also fell, contributing to broader market weakness.
  • Oil prices saw a substantial increase of 7-8%.

U.S. stocks experienced a significant downturn, and long-dated Treasury yields surged to multi-decade peaks on Wednesday following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged. The market's reaction was amplified by a severe sell-off in South Korean stocks, particularly in the chip sector, which was triggered by disappointing results from chipmaker SK Hynix. The Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and S&P 500 all closed lower, with the Nasdaq entering correction territory. The Philadelphia SE semiconductor index also hit a three-month low. Concerns about leverage in the chip sector have surfaced, with strategists noting faster-than-anticipated deleveraging in the U.S. tech and semiconductor space. Meanwhile, oil prices rose substantially, and the U.S. dollar weakened after the Fed's announcement. Looking ahead, the Bank of England is expected to maintain its current interest rate, though markets anticipate future hikes.

Frequently asked questions

The Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady, combined with dissent from three policymakers favoring a hike, created uncertainty about future monetary policy. This uncertainty, along with broader concerns about the tech sector and leverage, contributed to the stock market's decline.

The sell-off in South Korean stocks was primarily driven by disappointing earnings from chipmaker SK Hynix, which intensified concerns about leverage in the chip sector.

Long-dated Treasury yields, particularly the 30-year yield, surged to multi-decade peaks, indicating a bear steepening of the yield curve. This suggests investors are demanding higher compensation for holding longer-term debt.

Key upcoming events include Samsung's Q2 earnings, the Bank of England's interest rate decision, U.S. Q2 GDP advance data, U.S. PCE inflation data for June, and earnings reports from companies like Apple and Amazon.

What Happens Next

01Samsung to release Q2 earnings.
02Bank of England to announce interest rate decision.
03Advance U.S. Q2 GDP data to be released.
04U.S. PCE inflation data for June to be released.
05U.S. companies including Apple and Amazon to report earnings.

Get the newsletter.

Pick the topics you actually care about. We'll email when there's news worth your time, on the cadence you choose. Cancel any time from your account.

Cadence
CME Headlines
  • 2-Year T-Note futures rallied as yields fell across curve.
    28 Jul · 9:11 PM
  • 2-Year T-Note futures rallied as yields fell across curve.
    28 Jul · 9:11 PM
  • Euro futures rally off monthly lows as Fed rate expectations shift.
    28 Jul · 8:24 PM

How It Developed

The Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates on hold.
Three Federal Reserve policymakers dissented in favor of a rate hike.
U.S. stocks tumbled, with the Nasdaq, Dow, and S&P 500 all declining.
Long-dated Treasury yields, particularly the 30-year yield, surged to multi-decade peaks.
The South Korean stock market experienced a significant rout, especially in the chip sector.
The Philadelphia SE semiconductor index fell to a 3-month low.
Oil prices rose significantly.
The U.S. dollar slid after the Federal Reserve's decision.

Sources

T1
Trading Day: All Warshed upReuters

Related Stories

Fed holds key interest rate steady in 9-3 decision
29 Jul · 6:26 PM
Fed Holds Rates Steady for Sixth Meeting Amid Inflation Concerns
29 Jul · 6:06 PM
US Stocks Decline as Fed Holds Rates Steady
29 Jul · 7:06 PM
Dollar steady near one-month high as Fed decision, Middle East tensions loom
29 Jul · 12:39 AM
Fed's Warsh: No 'soft target' for inflation, only 2% goal
29 Jul · 6:54 PM