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US private payrolls increase moderately in July, ADP says

Created at 5 Aug · 12:33 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

U.S. private employment increased by 44,000 jobs in July, a slowdown from the previous month, according to the ADP National Employment Report. Economists had anticipated a larger gain.

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Key Numbers

44,000private jobs added in July
95,000private jobs added in June (revised)
70,000economists' forecast for July private jobs
1.04open jobs per unemployed person in June
78,000economists' forecast for July private payrolls
49,000private payrolls increase in June (Reuters survey)
80,000forecast for overall nonfarm payrolls in July
57,000nonfarm payrolls increase in June
4.2%forecast unemployment rate

Who's Involved

ADP
provider of the national employment report
Stanford Digital Economy Lab
joint developer of the ADP report
Bureau of Labor Statistics
publisher of the comprehensive employment report
Lucia Mutikani
Reuters reporter
Andrea Ricci
Reuters editor
US private payrolls increase moderately in July, ADP says

↳ Why This Matters

The moderation in private job growth indicated by the ADP report suggests a cooling labor market, which could influence the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions regarding interest rates.

Key facts

  • Private employment increased by 44,000 jobs in July.
  • This is a slowdown from the 95,000 jobs added in June.
  • Economists had forecast 70,000 jobs for July.
  • The ADP report is published ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' employment report.
  • Economists predict overall nonfarm payrolls advanced 80,000 in July.
  • The unemployment rate is forecast to remain at 4.2%.

U.S. private payrolls grew at a slower pace in July, with 44,000 jobs added, according to the ADP National Employment Report released on Wednesday. This figure fell short of economists' expectations of 70,000 jobs and represented a decrease from the 95,000 jobs added in June, which was revised downward. The ADP report, developed in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, is often seen as a precursor to the more closely watched Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment report, though it has historically been an unreliable gauge of the BLS's private payroll estimates. Economists surveyed by Reuters predict that the BLS will report an increase of 78,000 private payroll jobs for July. The overall nonfarm payrolls are forecast to have advanced by 80,000, with the unemployment rate expected to hold steady at 4.2%. However, a recent Conference Board survey indicated a drop in consumer sentiment regarding job availability, suggesting a potential risk of the jobless rate edging higher.

Frequently asked questions

The ADP National Employment Report showed that 44,000 private sector jobs were added in July.

The July figure of 44,000 jobs is a slowdown compared to the revised 95,000 jobs added in June.

The ADP report is published ahead of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' more comprehensive employment report and can offer an early indication of labor market trends, though it is not always a precise predictor.

Economists predict private payrolls increased 78,000 in July, with overall nonfarm payrolls advancing 80,000, and the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%.

What Happens Next

01The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its comprehensive employment report for July on Friday.

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How It Developed

Private employment increased by 44,000 jobs in July.
This figure is lower than the revised 95,000 jobs added in June.
Economists had forecast 70,000 private jobs added in July.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics' more comprehensive employment report is due Friday.
Economists predict private payrolls increased 78,000 in July.
The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at 4.2%.

Sources

T1
US private payrolls increase moderately in July, ADP saysReuters

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