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US Factory Orders Unexpectedly Fall in June

Created at 4 Aug · 3:04 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

New orders for U.S. factory goods unexpectedly fell 0.3% in June, contrary to economists' expectations of a rebound. However, demand in other sectors remained strong, particularly in artificial intelligence infrastructure.

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Key Numbers

0.3%factory orders decline in June
1.1%revised decrease in May
0.2%forecasted rebound in orders
5.3%year-over-year orders increase in June
9.4%manufacturing's share of the economy
7.2%defense aircraft and parts orders fall
27.2%mining, oil and gas machinery orders plunge
0.3%overall machinery orders increase
3.2%computers and electronic products orders jump
13.9%year-on-year orders for computers and electronics
1.6%electrical equipment, appliances and components orders increase
1.2%non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft increase
0.9%previous estimate for non-defense capital goods orders
2.0%core capital goods shipments increase
1.9%previously reported core capital goods shipments

Who's Involved

Commerce Department's Census Bureau
reported U.S. factory orders data
Reuters
polled economists for forecasts
Institute for Supply Management
surveyed manufacturing expansion
US Factory Orders Unexpectedly Fall in June

↳ Why This Matters

The unexpected decline in factory orders suggests a potential slowdown in manufacturing activity, which could impact economic growth. However, strong demand in areas like AI infrastructure and business equipment spending indicates resilience in certain sectors.

Key facts

  • New orders for U.S. factory goods decreased by 0.3% in June.
  • This decline was unexpected, as economists had predicted a 0.2% increase.
  • Orders for computers and electronic products saw a significant jump of 3.2%.
  • Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a measure of business spending, rose 1.2%.

New orders for U.S. factory goods unexpectedly declined by 0.3% in June, missing economists' forecasts for a 0.2% rebound. This marks a continuation of a downward trend, following a revised 1.1% decrease in May. Despite the overall dip, orders saw a 5.3% increase year-over-year.

Manufacturing, which constitutes 9.4% of the U.S. economy, is receiving support from the ongoing buildout of artificial intelligence infrastructure. Businesses are also front-loading orders to mitigate potential shortages and price increases stemming from geopolitical tensions, including the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.

Specific sectors showed mixed performance. Orders for defense aircraft and parts fell 7.2%, and there was a substantial 27.2% plunge in orders for mining, oil field, and gas field machinery. However, overall machinery orders rose by 0.3%.

Orders for computers and electronic products surged by 3.2%, contributing to a 13.9% year-on-year increase in this category. Electrical equipment, appliances, and components also saw a 1.6% rise. Orders for primary metals, motor vehicles, parts, trailers, and commercial aircraft and parts also increased.

Furthermore, orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a key indicator of business spending plans on equipment, increased by 1.2% in June, exceeding the initial estimate of 0.9%. Shipments of these core capital goods rose 2.0%, slightly above the previously reported 1.9%. Business spending on equipment had previously shown robust growth in the second quarter.

Frequently asked questions

New orders for U.S. factory goods unexpectedly fell 0.3% in June, following a revised 1.1% decrease in May.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast orders would rebound 0.2% in June.

Orders for computers and electronic products jumped 3.2%, and non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft increased 1.2%.

Manufacturing is receiving a tailwind from the AI buildout, though supply chains are strained by geopolitical events.

What Happens Next

01Monitor future factory orders data for sustained trends.
02Observe the impact of AI buildout on manufacturing output.
03Track business spending on equipment in upcoming economic reports.

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How It Developed

New orders for U.S. factory goods fell 0.3% in June.
Economists had forecast orders would rebound 0.2% in June.
Orders increased 5.3% year over year in June.
Orders for computers and electronic products jumped 3.2%.
Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft increased 1.2%.

Sources

T1
US factory orders unexpectedly fall in JuneReuters

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