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US jobless claims rise slightly, July layoffs hit two-year low

Created at 6 Aug · 12:53 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

US weekly jobless claims increased slightly, while planned layoffs in July fell to their lowest level in two years, indicating a stable labor market. This provides the Federal Reserve room to focus on inflation concerns.

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Key Numbers

1,000increase in weekly jobless claims
199,000initial jobless claims for the week ended August 1
202,000forecast for weekly jobless claims
33,429planned job cuts in July
27%drop in planned job cuts in July
41%year-to-date drop in planned layoffs
24,000increase in continuing unemployment benefits
1.801 millioncontinuing unemployment benefits
80,000forecast for July nonfarm payrolls
57,000June nonfarm payrolls increase
4.2%forecast for July unemployment rate
16,095announced hiring plans in July
47%jump in announced hiring plans
107,500announced hiring plans year-to-date
25%year-to-date increase in announced hiring plans

Who's Involved

Labor Department
released weekly jobless claims data
Reuters
polled economists for forecasts
Challenger, Gray and Christmas
global outplacement firm that tracks layoffs
Andy Challenger
chief revenue officer at Challenger, Gray and Christmas
Federal Reserve
central bank focusing on inflation
Reuters
surveyed economists for employment report forecasts
Conference Board
conducted survey on consumer views of jobs
Institute for Supply Management
showed services sector employment contracted
US jobless claims rise slightly, July layoffs hit two-year low

↳ Why This Matters

The data suggests a resilient labor market, which could influence the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates as it balances inflation concerns with economic stability.

Key facts

  • Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 1,000 to 199,000 for the week ended August 1.
  • Planned job cuts by U.S. employers dropped 27% to 33,429 in July, the lowest since July 2024.
  • The number of people receiving unemployment benefits increased 24,000 to 1.801 million for the week ended July 25.
  • Announced hiring plans jumped 47% in July to 16,095.

The number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits rose slightly last week, while planned layoffs by U.S. employers dropped to a two-year low in July. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased by 1,000 to a seasonally adjusted 199,000 for the week ended August 1, according to the Labor Department. Economists had forecast 202,000 claims. Layoffs have remained low despite economic shocks, with job losses largely confined to the technology sector due to artificial intelligence advancements.

A separate report from Challenger, Gray and Christmas indicated that planned job cuts fell 27% in July to 33,429, the lowest since July 2024, and were down 41% year-to-date. "The pace of layoffs fell dramatically this summer," said Andy Challenger, chief revenue officer at Challenger, Gray and Christmas, noting that tech and AI remain primary drivers of announced layoffs.

The number of people receiving unemployment benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, increased by 24,000 to 1.801 million in the week ended July 25. Meanwhile, announced hiring plans jumped 47% in July to 16,095, though this increase was from a low base. Companies have announced plans to hire 107,500 workers year-to-date, up 25% from the same period in 2025.

Economists suggest the stable labor market provides the Federal Reserve room to address inflation concerns stemming from the Middle East conflict. The central bank recently maintained its benchmark interest rate between 3.50%-3.75%, though three policy-setting members favored a quarter-percentage-point hike. The closely watched July employment report is due Friday, with economists forecasting an 80,000 job increase and the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. However, a recent Conference Board survey showed consumer views on job availability declined in July.

Frequently asked questions

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 1,000 to 199,000 for the week ended August 1.

Planned job cuts by U.S. employers dropped 27% to 33,429 in July, reaching a two-year low.

The labor market appears stable, with low layoffs and a slight increase in continuing unemployment benefits, while hiring plans have seen a significant jump from a low base.

The stable labor market gives the Federal Reserve room to focus on inflation without immediate pressure to alter interest rates.

What Happens Next

01Labor Department to release July employment report on Friday.

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How It Developed

Initial jobless claims rose 1,000 to 199,000 for the week ended August 1.
Planned job cuts by U.S. employers dropped 27% to 33,429 in July.
The number of people receiving unemployment benefits increased 24,000 to 1.801 million.
Announced hiring plans jumped 47% in July to a four-year high.

Sources

T1
US weekly jobless claims edge up; planned layoffs decline in JulyReuters

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