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US Economy Grows 1.5% in Q2 Amid Stubborn Inflation

Created at 5 Aug · 3:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The U.S. economy expanded at a 1.5% annual pace in the second quarter, a slowdown from the previous quarter, as rising imports weighed on growth. Consumer spending increased, and a key inflation measure showed slower price rises, though it remains above the Federal Reserve's target.

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Key Numbers

1.5%Q2 GDP growth rate
2.1%Q1 GDP growth rate
3.2%Q2 consumer spending growth rate
0.5%Q1 consumer spending growth rate
3.9%Underlying economic strength growth rate
1.7%Q1 underlying economic strength growth rate
8.4%Q2 business investment growth rate
10.6%Q1 business investment growth rate
11.5%Q2 import growth rate
1.5%Percentage points shaved off GDP by imports
2%Federal Reserve inflation target

Who's Involved

Commerce Department
Reported Q2 GDP figures
Federal Reserve
Voted to keep interest rates steady
Olu Sonola
Head of U.S. economics at Fitch Ratings
US Economy Grows 1.5% in Q2 Amid Stubborn Inflation

↳ Why This Matters

The slowdown in economic growth, coupled with persistent inflation, presents a challenge for policymakers as they aim to balance controlling price pressures with supporting economic activity. The Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady, while markets anticipate future hikes, indicates ongoing uncertainty about the economic outlook.

Key facts

  • U.S. GDP grew at a 1.5% annual rate in the second quarter of 2026.
  • This growth rate is a slowdown from the 2.1% recorded in the first quarter.
  • Consumer spending increased by 3.2% in the second quarter.
  • The Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge showed slower price increases in June.
  • Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
  • The Federal Reserve decided to maintain current interest rates.

The U.S. economy experienced a slowdown in the second quarter of 2026, with gross domestic product growing at a 1.5% annual pace. This deceleration from the first quarter's 2.1% growth was partly attributed to a significant increase in imports, which subtracted 1.5 percentage points from the GDP figure. Despite the overall slowdown, consumer spending rose robustly by 3.2%, and business investment, excluding housing, also showed strength with an 8.4% increase, partly driven by investments in artificial intelligence.

On the inflation front, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, indicated a slower rise in prices in June compared to May. However, inflation remains persistently above the central bank's 2% target, a concern for consumers facing high living costs. In response to the economic and inflation data, the Federal Reserve voted to maintain its current interest rate levels, though financial markets anticipate potential future rate hikes.

Analysts noted that while consumer spending and AI investment were key drivers of the quarter's growth, the surge in imports highlights that the benefits of an AI boom do not automatically translate into a proportional boost to U.S. GDP. The economic figures were released as the nation approaches the midterm elections, with inflation being a significant concern for voters.

Frequently asked questions

The U.S. economy grew at a 1.5% annual pace in the second quarter of 2026.

Consumer spending increased at a 3.2% annual clip in the second quarter, up from 0.5% in the previous quarter.

The Federal Reserve voted to keep interest rates steady, but financial markets are acting like they expect higher rates this fall.

While one measure of inflation showed prices rose less in June compared to May, it remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

What Happens Next

01Financial markets are anticipating potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the fall.
02The Federal Reserve will continue to monitor inflation and economic data to guide future monetary policy decisions.

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Cadence
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  • Markets hit record highs as rate hike odds drop.
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How It Developed

The U.S. economy grew at a 1.5% annual pace in the second quarter.
This represents a deceleration from the 2.1% growth seen in the first quarter.
Consumer spending increased by 3.2% annually.
Business investment, excluding housing, rose at an 8.4% pace.
Imports increased at an 11.5% pace, reducing GDP growth by 1.5 percentage points.
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the PCE price index, rose more slowly in June compared to May.
Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
The Federal Reserve voted to keep interest rates steady.

Sources

T1
U.S. Economy Slows as Inflation BitesThe New York Times
T2
US economy grows at a sluggish 1.5% in second-quarter with inflation remaining stubbornly highapnews.com
T2
Inflation remaining stubbornly high, U.S. economy grows sluggish 1.5% in 2nd quarter | PBS Newspbs.org
T2
U.S. economy slows as inflation eases and Fed holds rates steady | Here & Nowwbur.org

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