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India's July retail inflation rises to 4.45%

Created at 12 Aug · 10:46 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

India's annual retail inflation increased to 4.45% in July from 4.38% in June, driven by elevated food prices. The figure was slightly below the Reuters poll forecast of 4.50% and remains above the Reserve Bank of India's target band.

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Key Numbers

4.45%India July retail inflation
4.38%India June retail inflation
4.50%Reuters poll forecast for July inflation
5.52%India July food inflation
5.32%India June food inflation
4%RBI inflation target

Who's Involved

Reuters
reported poll forecast for inflation
Reserve Bank of India
mandated to maintain inflation at 4%

↳ Why This Matters

The rise in India's retail inflation, particularly driven by food prices, keeps it above the central bank's target, potentially influencing future monetary policy decisions by the Reserve Bank of India.

Key facts

  • India's retail inflation rose to 4.45% in July from 4.38% in June.
  • Food inflation increased to 5.52% in July, up from 5.32% in June.
  • The July inflation figure was below the Reuters poll forecast of 4.50%.
  • The current inflation rate remains above the Reserve Bank of India's target of 4%.

India's annual retail inflation rose to 4.45% in July, an increase from 4.38% in June, according to government data. This figure was slightly below the 4.50% projected by a Reuters poll of economists. The uptick was primarily driven by elevated food prices, with the Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI) rising to 5.52% in July from 5.32% in the previous month. Specific items like onions, garlic, and ginger saw significant price increases. The latest consumer price index (CPI) reading remains above the Reserve Bank of India’s medium-term inflation target of 4%, a level it had crossed in June after a period of subdued inflation. The RBI is tasked with maintaining headline retail inflation within a 2% to 6% tolerance band.

Frequently asked questions

India's retail inflation rate in July was 4.45%.

This is an increase from the 4.38% recorded in June.

Elevated food prices were the primary driver, with food inflation rising to 5.52%.

No, the July inflation rate of 4.45% remains above the Reserve Bank of India's medium-term target of 4%.

What Happens Next

01The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee will consider the inflation data in its upcoming meetings.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
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    11 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • Euro futures held near 7-week highs ahead of key CPI and PPI data.
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  • Japanese Yen futures fell as unexpected trade deficit weighed.
    10 Aug · 10:10 PM

How It Developed

India's annual retail inflation stood at 4.45% in July.
This marks an increase from 4.38% in June.
Food inflation rose to 5.52% in July from 5.32% in June.
Inflation in onions, garlic, and ginger saw significant increases.
The latest consumer price index reading remained above the Reserve Bank of India’s medium-term inflation target of 4%.

Sources

T1
India's July retail inflation at 4.45% on-yearReuters
T2
India's July inflation accelerates to 4.45%, raising rate hike hopescnbc.com
T2
India's July inflation quickens to 4.45% from 4.38% in June, stays ...economictimes.indiatimes.com

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