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Brazil inflation slows to 4.44% in July

Created at 11 Aug · 8:05 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Brazil's inflation decelerated to an annual rate of 4.44% in July, down from 4.64% in June, according to national statistics agency IBGE. Lower housing costs helped offset rising electricity bills, bringing inflation within the central bank's target range.

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Key Numbers

4.44%Brazil annual inflation in July
4.64%Brazil annual inflation in June
3.4%Brazil food and beverage inflation in July
5.93%Brazil housing costs inflation in July
3.64%Brazil transport costs inflation in July
1.50-4.50%Central bank inflation target range
5.03%Central bank inflation forecast for 2026
14%Brazil's current central bank target rate

Who's Involved

IBGE
Brazil's national statistics agency
Brazil's central bank
lowered target rate to 14% and manages inflation targets

↳ Why This Matters

The deceleration of Brazil's inflation to within the central bank's target range supports the ongoing monetary easing cycle, potentially influencing future interest rate decisions and economic growth prospects.

Key facts

  • Brazil's annual inflation rate slowed to 4.44% in July.
  • This marks a deceleration from 4.64% in June and 4.72% in May.
  • Lower food and beverage costs, particularly for coffee, fruits, and vegetables, contributed to the slowdown.
  • Rising housing costs, driven by electricity bills and tax adjustments, accelerated inflation in that category.
  • Transport costs also slowed, influenced by lower fuel prices.
  • The current inflation rate falls within the central bank's target range of 1.50-4.50%.

Brazil's inflation rate eased to an annual 4.44% in July, a decrease from 4.64% in June and 4.72% in May, according to data released by the national statistics agency IBGE. This slowdown brings the inflation rate within the central bank's target range of 1.50-4.50%.

Lower prices for food and beverages, including coffee, fruits, and vegetables, were key drivers of the deceleration. However, housing costs saw an acceleration in inflation to 5.93% from 5.85% a month prior, primarily due to increased electricity bills and tax adjustments in some southern regions. Transport costs also slowed to 3.64% annually, influenced by reduced prices for ethanol, diesel, gasoline, and compressed natural gas, despite a rise in airfares.

The central bank anticipates inflation to conclude 2026 at 5.03%, exceeding its target range. Projections for subsequent years are 4.22% for 2027 and 3.8% for 2028. In its most recent meeting, the central bank implemented a fourth consecutive quarter-point rate cut, lowering its target rate to 14% from 15%, where it had been held since mid-2025 to combat inflation.

Frequently asked questions

Brazil's annual inflation rate slowed to 4.44% in July.

Lower prices for food and beverages, such as coffee, fruits, and vegetables, helped to slow inflation. Lower transport costs also contributed.

Rising electricity bills and tax readjustments for power supply in some southern states primarily drove the acceleration in housing costs.

Brazil's central bank target range for inflation is 1.50-4.50%.

Brazil's central bank target rate has been lowered to 14%.

What Happens Next

01Central bank to monitor inflation trends for future rate decisions.
02Further economic data releases will provide insight into inflation trajectory.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Euro futures held near 7-week highs ahead of key CPI and PPI data.
    11 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • Euro futures held near 7-week highs ahead of key CPI and PPI data.
    11 Aug · 9:00 PM
  • Japanese Yen futures fell as unexpected trade deficit weighed.
    10 Aug · 10:10 PM

How It Developed

Brazil's annual inflation slowed to 4.44% in July.
Food and beverage costs decelerated to 3.4% annually.
Housing costs accelerated to 5.93% annually.
Transport costs slowed to 3.64% annually.
The central bank expects inflation to end 2026 at 5.03%.
Brazil's central bank lowered its target rate to 14%.

Sources

T1
Brazil’s inflation slows to 4.44pc in JulyArgus Media

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