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French inflation slows to 2.0% in June, below estimates

Created at 10 Jul · 7:09 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

France's harmonized inflation rate slowed to 2.0% year-on-year in June, down from 2.8% in May and below analyst expectations. The decrease was primarily driven by a drop in energy prices.

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Key Numbers

2.0%French harmonized inflation in June
2.8%French harmonized inflation in May
2.3%Analyst forecast for June inflation
5%Monthly decrease in energy prices in June
1.8%Services inflation in June
-0.9%Manufactured goods prices change in June

Who's Involved

INSEE
French statistics office that released inflation data
European Central Bank
ECB whose target inflation rate was met by June's figure
French inflation slows to 2.0% in June, below estimates

↳ Why This Matters

The slowdown in French inflation, particularly its alignment with the ECB's target, could influence future monetary policy decisions by the European Central Bank regarding interest rates.

Key facts

  • French harmonized inflation stood at 2.0% year-on-year in June.
  • This marks a slowdown from 2.8% in May.
  • The June figure was below the 2.3% average estimate from analysts.
  • Energy prices decreased by 5% month-on-month, contributing to the slowdown.
  • Services inflation also eased to 1.8%.

Consumer prices in France rose 2.0% year-on-year in June on a European Union-harmonised basis, according to preliminary data from the statistics office INSEE. This figure represents a slowdown from the 2.8% inflation rate recorded in May and fell below the average analyst expectation of 2.3%.

The deceleration in inflation was primarily attributed to a 5% monthly decrease in energy prices, particularly petroleum products, although these remained elevated. Services inflation also eased to 1.8% from 2.1% in May, while prices for manufactured goods continued to decline for the third consecutive month, reaching -0.9%.

The harmonised inflation rate is adjusted to allow for comparison with inflation rates in other euro zone countries. The June figure aligns with the European Central Bank's target.

Frequently asked questions

France's harmonized inflation rate was 2.0% year-on-year in June, according to INSEE's preliminary data.

The actual French inflation rate of 2.0% was below analysts' average estimate of 2.3%.

The harmonized inflation rate is adjusted for comparison with inflation rates in other euro zone countries.

The French statistics agency INSEE provided the preliminary inflation data.

What Happens Next

01The June dip could influence ECB rate path expectations.

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How It Developed

Consumer prices in France rose 2.0% year-on-year in June on a harmonised basis.
The harmonised inflation rate slowed from May's reading of 2.8%.
The June rate was below the average forecast of 2.3% from 17 analysts.
The slowdown was mainly due to a 5% monthly decrease in energy prices.
Services inflation eased to 1.8% from 2.1% in May.
Manufactured goods prices fell for a third consecutive month, deepening to -0.9%.

Sources

T1
French inflation rises 2.0% in JuneReuters
T2
French Inflation Rises 2% in June, Below Analyst Estimatesglobalbankingandfinance.com

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