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France revises Q2 growth forecast higher despite heatwave

Created at 9 Jul · 6:04 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

France's economic growth strengthened in the second quarter, with the Bank of France revising its outlook upward to 0.2% growth. Businesses largely sustained activity despite a record heatwave, with some sectors even benefiting.

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Key Numbers

0.2%Q2 growth forecast for France
0.1%Q1 contraction in France
8,500firms surveyed for business sentiment

Who's Involved

Bank of France
Revised French economic growth forecast upward
Leigh Thomas
Reuters reporter
Barbara Lewis
Reuters editor
France revises Q2 growth forecast higher despite heatwave

↳ Why This Matters

The upward revision suggests greater resilience in the French economy than previously anticipated, with businesses adapting effectively to challenging conditions like extreme weather and easing supply chain pressures, despite ongoing geopolitical concerns.

Key facts

  • France's economic growth strengthened in the second quarter.
  • The Bank of France revised its Q2 growth forecast upward to 0.2%.
  • Businesses largely sustained activity despite a record heatwave in late June.
  • The services sector, including hospitality, saw stronger performance.
  • Manufacturing orders were at normal levels, and uncertainty eased.

The Bank of France reported that French economic growth strengthened in the second quarter, revising its forecast upward to 0.2%. This improvement was driven by increased activity across industry, services, and construction in June, with businesses adapting to a record heatwave by altering working hours. While some construction projects were slowed, overall disruptions were minimal, and certain service sectors, such as hospitality, benefited from the extreme temperatures. The central bank's survey of 8,500 firms indicated strengthened activity in June, with manufacturing orders around normal levels and a decrease in uncertainty. Companies noted international tensions and input costs as concerns, though supply chain and raw material pressures have eased. Business leaders anticipate continued, albeit more moderate, growth in July.

Frequently asked questions

The Bank of France revised its forecast for France's economic growth in the second quarter to 0.2%.

Businesses largely managed to sustain activity by changing working hours, with some service sectors benefiting from increased demand.

The upgrade was mainly based on stronger performance in services, including consumer services, information and communication, hospitality, and transport, supported by manufacturing.

Companies cited international tensions and input costs as concerns, although supply chain and raw material price pressures have eased.

What Happens Next

01Business leaders expect continued growth in July.

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How It Developed

French economic growth strengthened in the second quarter.
Activity increased across industry, services, and construction in June.
Businesses adapted to a record heatwave by changing working hours.
Some service sectors, like hospitality, benefited from the heatwave.
The Bank of France revised its Q2 growth forecast to 0.2%.
The upgrade was primarily driven by stronger services and manufacturing.
Construction was expected to decline again over the quarter.
Business sentiment survey showed strengthened activity in June.

Sources

T1
French central bank revises growth forecast higher despite heatwave disruptionReuters

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