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Canada's Ivey PMI falls to four-month low in July

Created at 7 Aug · 2:23 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Canadian economic activity expanded at a slower pace in July, with the seasonally adjusted Ivey Purchasing Managers Index falling to 55.1 from 56.2 in June. Employment declined while price increases accelerated.

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Key Numbers

55.1Ivey PMI for July
56.2Ivey PMI for June
52.2Employment gauge for July
53.6Employment gauge for June
75.5Prices index for July
73.7Prices index for June
54.1Unadjusted PMI for July
59.7Unadjusted PMI for June

Who's Involved

Ivey Business School
prepares the Ivey Purchasing Managers Index
Fergal Smith
Reuters reporter
Nick Zieminski
Reuters editor
Canada's Ivey PMI falls to four-month low in July

↳ Why This Matters

The slowdown in Canadian economic activity, coupled with rising prices and declining employment, suggests potential headwinds for the Canadian economy and may influence future monetary policy decisions by the Bank of Canada.

Key facts

  • Canada's Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) decreased to 55.1 in July, its lowest level since March.
  • The decline in the PMI indicates a slower pace of economic expansion in Canada.
  • The employment component of the index fell to 52.2 in July.
  • The prices index, however, accelerated, rising to 75.5 in July.

Canadian economic activity expanded at a slower pace in July, with the seasonally adjusted Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) falling to its lowest level since March. The index decreased to 55.1 from 56.2 in June, according to data released on Friday. The gauge of employment within the PMI dipped to an adjusted 52.2 from 53.6 in the previous month. Meanwhile, price increases accelerated, with the adjusted prices index rising to 75.5 from 73.7 in June. The Ivey PMI measures month-to-month variations in economic activity across Canada, with a reading above 50 indicating an increase. The unadjusted PMI also saw a decline, falling to 54.1 from 59.7. The Ivey PMI is prepared by the Ivey Business School and is considered to have predictive power for forecasting Canadian macroeconomic activity.

Frequently asked questions

The Ivey PMI is an economic index that measures the month-to-month variation in economic activity across Canada, based on data from purchasing managers. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

A reading below 50 on the Ivey PMI indicates a contraction or decrease in economic activity.

A rising prices index suggests that inflationary pressures are increasing within the Canadian economy.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
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  • Euro futures fell from weekly highs as dollar caught a bid.
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How It Developed

The seasonally adjusted Ivey PMI fell to 55.1 in July from 56.2 in June.
The employment gauge dipped to 52.2 from 53.6.
The adjusted prices index rose to 75.5 from 73.7.
The unadjusted PMI fell to 54.1 from 59.7.

Sources

T1
Canada's Ivey PMI hits four-month low in JulyReuters
T2
Ivey Purchasing Managers Index | Ivey Business Schooliveypmi.uwo.ca

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