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Australian consumer sentiment improves in August

Created at 18 Aug · 12:34 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Australian consumer sentiment rose for a second consecutive month in August, driven by expectations of lower interest rates. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute index increased 6.0% from July, though it remains down nearly 10% year-over-year.

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Key Numbers

6.0%August consumer sentiment index rise
4.1%July consumer sentiment index rise
10%Year-over-year decline in sentiment index
98.5July sentiment index reading
7.6%Jump in economic outlook for next year
5.4%Rise in economic outlook for five years
6.2%Bounce in family finances compared to a year ago
5.4%Pick-up in outlook for the next 12 months
4.2%Gain in index for buying major household items
10.5%Climb in measure for buying a dwelling

Who's Involved

Westpac-Melbourne Institute
Conducted the consumer sentiment survey
Matthew Hassan
Westpac's head of Australian macro-forecasting
Australian consumer sentiment improves in August

↳ Why This Matters

The brightening consumer sentiment suggests a potential stabilization in household spending, which is a key component of Australia's economic growth. Improved confidence could lead to increased retail sales and property market activity, although affordability constraints remain a factor.

Key facts

  • Australian consumer sentiment rose 6.0% in August, marking a second consecutive monthly increase.
  • The Westpac-Melbourne Institute index of consumer sentiment is still down nearly 10% from a year earlier.
  • Pessimists continue to outnumber optimists in the survey.
  • The improvement in sentiment was attributed to expectations of lower interest rates.
  • Confidence in the economic outlook for the next year increased by 7.6%.

Australian consumer sentiment improved for the second month in August, with the Westpac-Melbourne Institute index rising 6.0% from July. This follows a 4.1% gain in July. Despite the recent increases, the index remains nearly 10% lower than a year ago, and pessimists still outnumber optimists.

The survey indicated that consumers are less concerned about further interest rate hikes, which has bolstered their outlook. Matthew Hassan, Westpac’s head of Australian macro-forecasting, noted that this has reinforced expectations of lower mortgage interest rates, providing a broad-based boost to sentiment.

Specific measures within the survey showed significant gains. Confidence in the economic outlook for the next year jumped 7.6%, while the five-year outlook rose 5.4%. Family finances compared to a year ago improved by 6.2%, and the outlook for the next 12 months picked up by 5.4%. For retailers, the index measuring the suitability of purchasing major household items increased by 4.2%. The measure for buying a dwelling climbed 10.5% to a four-year high, though affordability constraints keep it below the long-run average.

Frequently asked questions

It is a survey that measures the optimism or pessimism of Australian consumers regarding their financial situation and the broader economy.

The improvement was largely attributed to expectations of lower interest rates, which bolstered consumers' outlook on their finances and the economy.

No, while it has improved for two consecutive months, the index is still down nearly 10% from a year earlier and pessimists continue to outnumber optimists.

What Happens Next

01Further Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decisions will be monitored.
02Future consumer sentiment surveys will indicate if the positive trend continues.

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How It Developed

A measure of Australian consumer sentiment rose 6.0% in August.
The index gained 4.1% in July.
The index is down almost 10% from a year earlier.
Pessimists continue to outnumber optimists.
Consumer sentiment improved sharply in August due to interest rate cuts.
The index reached its highest reading since early 2022.
The economic outlook for the next year jumped 7.6%.
The outlook for five years rose 5.4%.

Sources

T1
Australia consumer sentiment brightens in August as rates heldReuters
T2
UPDATE 1-Australia August consumer sentiment boosted by rate cutsforsythbarr.co.nz
T2
Australia August consumer sentiment boosted by rate cutssrnnews.com

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