Key facts
- Sweden's centre-left opposition is projected to win the September parliamentary election.
- A national statistics office poll shows opposition support at 55.2%.
- The governing bloc's support has fallen to 42.6%.
- The Social Democrats, the largest opposition party, polled 33.9%.
- The Sweden Democrats polled 18.3%.
Sweden's centre-left opposition is likely to win the upcoming September parliamentary election, potentially unseating the current right-wing government, according to an opinion poll released by the national statistics office. Swedes will go to the polls on September 13, with campaigning focusing on issues such as gang crime, the cost of living, security, immigration, and energy supply. Support for the four opposition parties, led by Magdalena Andersson's Social Democrats, stood at 55.2%, an increase from the 48.9% they won in the 2022 election. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's governing bloc, which includes the Sweden Democrats, saw its support fall to 42.6%, down from 49.6% in 2022. Political science professor Jonas Hinnfors commented that this indicates the government will likely lose its majority. The junior coalition partner, the Liberals, polled below the 4% threshold required to enter the Riksdag. The Social Democrats alone polled 33.9%, up from 30.3% four years ago. The current minority government has focused on clamping down on immigration, cutting taxes, joining NATO, and addressing gang-related violence. While a shift in power is expected to lead to increased welfare spending, major policy changes regarding immigration, defense, or support for Ukraine are not anticipated. The Sweden Democrats polled 18.3%, a decrease from 20.5% in 2022. The poll surveyed 4,542 people between April 28 and May 28.