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SpaceX short sellers profit $5B as stock sinks post-IPO

Created at 17 Jul · 4:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Short sellers are up approximately $5 billion on their bets against SpaceX following a significant slide in the company's stock price after its record $86 billion IPO. The stock briefly fell below its offering price amid volatility.

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Key Numbers

$86 billionSpaceX IPO valuation
$5 billionPaper profits for short sellers
$1 trillionValue lost from peak market cap
$135SpaceX IPO offering price
$25 billionNotional value of short interest
192 millionSpaceX shares sold short
30%SpaceX float sold short

Who's Involved

SpaceX
Rocket maker whose stock has seen significant volatility post-IPO
S3 Partners
Financial markets data provider estimating short interest
Matthew Unterman
Managing director at S3 Partners
Peter Hillerberg
Cofounder of financial analytics platform Ortex
Elon Musk
Billionaire whose companies often attract short sellers
SpaceX short sellers profit $5B as stock sinks post-IPO

↳ Why This Matters

The significant price drop and subsequent gains for short sellers highlight the high volatility and speculative nature surrounding major tech IPOs, particularly those associated with Elon Musk, and underscore the risks and rewards in betting against high-profile companies.

Key facts

  • SpaceX's stock has fallen significantly after its $86 billion IPO.
  • Short sellers are estimated to be holding approximately $5 billion in paper profits.
  • The company's market capitalization has dropped by about $1 trillion from its peak.
  • SpaceX shares briefly traded below their $135 IPO offering price.
  • Around 30% of SpaceX's total float is estimated to be sold short.

SpaceX short sellers are currently realizing substantial gains, with an estimated $5 billion in paper profits following a sharp decline in the company's stock price after its record-breaking $86 billion IPO last month. Initially, SpaceX's market capitalization surged, briefly surpassing Amazon's valuation. However, the stock has since experienced a significant downturn, losing approximately $1 trillion from its peak. On Wednesday, shares dipped below the $135 IPO offering price for the first time, and continued to fall, opening around $127 on Friday after a planned Starship test was postponed. Financial data provider S3 Partners estimates that 192 million SpaceX shares, representing about 30% of the total float, have been sold short. According to S3, bearish investors have intensified their short positions, increasing the notional value of short interest to $25 billion. Analysts at Ortex noted the extreme volatility for short sellers, who have swung from paper losses to significant profits. Elon Musk's companies, including Tesla, have historically been targets for short sellers, often leading to public clashes with the billionaire.

Frequently asked questions

SpaceX's IPO was valued at a record-breaking $86 billion.

The company has lost approximately $1 trillion in value from its peak market capitalization.

Approximately 30% of SpaceX's total float, or 192 million shares, is estimated to be sold short.

Short sellers profit when a stock's price falls. SpaceX's stock has experienced a significant decline after its initial surge post-IPO.

What Happens Next

01SpaceX's stock performance will continue to be monitored by investors and short sellers.
02Future Starship test flights and their outcomes could impact SpaceX's valuation.

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How It Developed

SpaceX completed a record $86 billion IPO last month.
The company's stock initially surged, briefly surpassing Amazon in market capitalization.
SpaceX shares have since lost approximately $1 trillion in value from their peak.
The stock briefly traded below its $135 IPO offering price for the first time.
Shares continued to fall, opening around $127 after a planned Starship test was called off.
Short sellers are estimated to hold 192 million shares, or 30% of the float.
Bearish investors have increased their short bets, with notional value reaching $25 billion.
Short sellers have experienced significant volatility, swinging from losses to substantial profits.

Sources

T1
SpaceX short sellers are up $5 billion as the stock sinks on fading IPO hypeBusiness Insider

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