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IBM shares slump as AI hardware spending shifts away from software

Created at 14 Jul · 2:31 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

IBM shares are set for one of their worst trading days after the tech giant warned that customers are diverting spending from software to AI infrastructure. The company expects second-quarter revenue and earnings below Wall Street forecasts, leading to a significant drop in its market value and impacting the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

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Key Numbers

$17.2bnIBM's expected second-quarter revenue
$2.93IBM's expected adjusted earnings per share
20%IBM stock's expected decline
$50bnIBM's market value wiped
1987Year of IBM's biggest previous selloff

Who's Involved

IBM
tech giant warning of spending shifts impacting software revenue
Arvind Krishna
CEO of IBM, admitting company faltered in reacting to client spending shifts
Chris Beauchamp
Chief Market Analyst at IG, calling it an 'ugly moment' for software stocks
David Morrison
Senior Market Analyst at Trade Nation, commenting on IBM's profit warning
XTB
Analysts questioning the extreme market reaction to IBM's update
Jefferies
Analysts who previously argued IBM's growth depended on AI software and cloud
IBM shares slump as AI hardware spending shifts away from software

↳ Why This Matters

The significant drop in IBM's stock and its warning highlight a potential shift in enterprise spending priorities, impacting the broader software sector and raising questions about the sustainability of AI hardware demand versus software investment.

Key facts

  • IBM shares are poised for one of their worst trading days, down over 20% after a warning about customer spending shifts.
  • The company anticipates second-quarter revenue of $17.2bn and adjusted earnings of $2.93 per share, missing Wall Street expectations.
  • Customers are redirecting budgets towards AI hardware like servers, storage, and memory, impacting IBM's software sales.
  • IBM's market value dropped by more than $50bn following the announcement.
  • The decline in IBM's stock pulled the Dow Jones Industrial Average lower.

IBM shares are facing a significant selloff, potentially one of the worst in decades, after the technology company issued a warning that customers are shifting their spending away from software and towards artificial intelligence infrastructure.

The company announced it expects second-quarter revenue to be $17.2bn and adjusted earnings per share to be $2.93, both figures falling short of Wall Street's projections. This news led to a more than 20% drop in IBM's stock price, erasing over $50bn from its market capitalization and dragging down the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

IBM CEO Arvind Krishna acknowledged that the company did not react quickly enough to the unexpected redirection of client budgets towards servers, storage, and memory needed for AI systems. He noted that in the final weeks of June, there was a noticeable shift in client capital expenditure towards these hardware components, and several large software deals were postponed beyond the quarter.

Analysts suggest that if IBM is experiencing such pressure, its competitors in the software sector may face similar challenges. The sharp decline comes after a period of strong gains for IBM shares, fueled by optimism surrounding its AI and quantum computing ventures. Earlier in the year, concerns were also raised about the long-term outlook for some of IBM's legacy software businesses due to advancements in AI tools capable of modernizing older software.

Frequently asked questions

IBM shares are falling sharply because the company warned that customers are diverting spending from software to AI hardware, leading to lower-than-expected revenue and earnings forecasts.

The selloff in IBM's stock has pulled the Dow Jones Industrial Average lower, indicating a broader market concern stemming from the tech giant's warning.

CEO Arvind Krishna admitted that IBM faltered in reacting to the unexpected shift in customer spending towards AI infrastructure and that several large software deals were delayed.

Analysts believe that if IBM is experiencing this pressure, other software companies may face similar challenges as businesses prioritize spending on AI hardware.

What Happens Next

01IBM is scheduled to release its full quarterly financial results next week.

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How It Developed

IBM warned that customers are shifting spending away from software and towards AI infrastructure.
The company expects second-quarter revenue of $17.2bn and adjusted earnings of $2.93 a share, both below Wall Street forecasts.
IBM shares fell more than 20%, on course for their biggest selloff since 1987.
The decline wiped more than $50bn from IBM's market value.
The stock slide dragged the Dow Jones lower.
CEO Arvind Krishna stated that clients unexpectedly redirected budgets toward servers, storage, and memory purchases in the final weeks of June.
Krishna acknowledged that IBM faltered in executing perfectly amidst these conditions.
He added that several large software deals slipped beyond the quarter as businesses reprioritized spending.

Sources

T1
‘Ugly moment’ for software stocks as IBM suffers biggest one-day slump in decadesCity AM

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