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IBM shares fall 14% after revenue misses estimates

Created at 14 Jul · 11:13 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

IBM shares dropped 14% in premarket trading after the company announced preliminary second-quarter revenue of $17.2 billion, falling short of analysts' expectations of $17.86 billion. The company's actual reported revenue for the second quarter of 2025 was $17.0 billion.

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Key Numbers

$17.2 billionIBM preliminary Q2 revenue
$17.86 billionanalysts' expected Q2 revenue
14%IBM share drop in premarket trading
$17.0 billionIBM reported Q2 revenue
8%IBM Q2 revenue growth year-over-year
5%IBM Q2 revenue growth at constant currency
10%Software revenue growth year-over-year
8%Software revenue growth at constant currency
3%Consulting revenue growth year-over-year
14%Infrastructure revenue growth year-over-year
11%Infrastructure revenue growth at constant currency
58.8%GAAP Gross Profit Margin
60.1%Operating (Non-GAAP) Gross Profit Margin
$2.6 billionGAAP Pre-tax Income
15.3%GAAP Pre-tax Income Margin
$2.2 billionGAAP Net Income
$2.31GAAP Diluted Earnings Per Share
$3.2 billionOperating (Non-GAAP) Pre-tax Income
18.8%Operating (Non-GAAP) Pre-tax Income Margin
$2.7 billionOperating (Non-GAAP) Net Income
$2.80Operating (Non-GAAP) Diluted Earnings Per Share
$6.1 billionYear to date net cash from operating activities
$4.8 billionYear to date free cash flow
$7.5 billionGenerative AI book of business
$13.5 billionFull-year free cash flow outlook

Who's Involved

IBM
technology company reporting Q2 earnings
Arvind Krishna
IBM Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
James Kavanaugh
IBM Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Olympia McNerney
IBM presenter
Harshita Mary Varghese
Reuters reporter
Shilpi Majumdar
Reuters editor
IBM shares fall 14% after revenue misses estimates

↳ Why This Matters

IBM's revenue miss and subsequent stock drop highlight investor sensitivity to growth expectations, even for established tech companies. The company's performance in key areas like software and infrastructure, alongside its raised free cash flow outlook, indicates underlying business strength despite short-term revenue shortfalls.

Key facts

  • IBM's preliminary second-quarter revenue was $17.2 billion, below the expected $17.86 billion.
  • The company's actual reported second-quarter revenue was $17.0 billion.
  • IBM's shares fell 14% in premarket trading following the revenue miss.
  • Software revenue grew 10% year-over-year, while infrastructure revenue increased 14%.
  • Consulting revenue saw a 3% increase year-over-year.
  • IBM raised its full-year outlook for free cash flow, expecting it to exceed $13.5 billion.

IBM shares fell 14% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the company announced preliminary second-quarter revenue of $17.2 billion, falling short of analysts' expectations of $17.86 billion. The company later reported its official second-quarter 2025 results, with revenue at $17.0 billion, an increase of 8% year-over-year (5% at constant currency).

Software revenue grew 10% year-over-year (8% at constant currency), driven by strong performance in Red Hat and HashiCorp, and Infrastructure revenue increased 14% (11% at constant currency), boosted by a strong start for the new IBM Z. Consulting revenue saw a 3% increase year-over-year, remaining flat at constant currency, impacted by the demand environment.

IBM's Chairman, President, and CEO Arvind Krishna highlighted the company's differentiated market position due to deep innovation and expertise, particularly in helping clients deploy and scale AI, with a generative AI book of business exceeding $7.5 billion. CFO James Kavanaugh noted that strong first-half performance, driven by revenue growth, portfolio mix, and productivity initiatives, led to significant margin expansion and double-digit profit growth.

The company raised its full-year outlook for free cash flow, now expecting it to exceed $13.5 billion. IBM's GAAP gross profit margin was 58.8%, up 200 basis points, while operating (non-GAAP) gross profit margin was 60.1%, up 230 basis points. GAAP pre-tax income margin was 15.3%, up 120 basis points, and operating (non-GAAP) pre-tax income margin was 18.8%, up 110 basis points.

Frequently asked questions

IBM's preliminary second-quarter revenue was $17.2 billion.

The preliminary revenue of $17.2 billion was below analysts' expectations of $17.86 billion.

IBM reported second-quarter 2025 revenue of $17.0 billion.

Software and Infrastructure revenue growth led IBM's results, with Software up 10% and Infrastructure up 14% year-over-year.

Yes, IBM raised its full-year outlook for free cash flow, expecting it to exceed $13.5 billion.

What Happens Next

01IBM will continue to focus on its hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence strategy.
02The company will monitor client demand and the broader economic and geopolitical environment.

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How It Developed

IBM announced preliminary second-quarter revenue of $17.2 billion.
Analysts expected IBM to report revenue of $17.86 billion.
IBM shares fell 14% in premarket trading.
IBM reported second-quarter revenue of $17.0 billion.
Software revenue increased 10% year-over-year.
Infrastructure revenue increased 14% year-over-year.
Consulting revenue increased 3% year-over-year.
IBM raised its full-year outlook for free cash flow.

Sources

T1
IBM expects second-quarter revenue below estimatesReuters
T2
IBM Surpasses Q2 Earnings Estimates On Solid Demand Trendsbarchart.com
T2
IBM Releases Second-Quarter Resultsnewsroom.ibm.com
T2
ibm-ex99x1 - SEC.govsec.gov

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