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Corn prices lower than pre-war despite higher input costs

Created at 1 Jun · 8:59 PM6 sources↑ Market-relevant4 events
IN SHORT

New crop corn prices are currently lower than pre-war levels, despite significantly higher fertilizer and diesel costs. This presents interesting risk/reward setups for traders to consider.

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Key Numbers

87,000long contracts trimmed in corn futures
12%increase in wheat shipments

Who's Involved

Virginia McGathey
reviews grain market activity
CME Group
provider of futures and options trading information
Corn prices lower than pre-war despite higher input costs

↳ Why This Matters

The discrepancy between lower corn prices and higher input costs suggests potential opportunities for traders and impacts the profitability of agricultural producers.

Key facts

  • New crop corn prices are lower than before the war started.
  • Fertilizer and diesel costs are higher than before the war.
  • The current market conditions present interesting risk/reward setups.

Wheat futures saw a rise driven by a 12% increase in shipments and anticipated import growth from Brazil and Argentina. Conversely, corn futures declined as investors trimmed 87,000 long contracts, despite sales outpacing last year. Soybean futures traded sideways amidst Middle East tensions. A new observation highlights that new crop corn prices are currently lower than pre-war levels, despite significantly higher fertilizer and diesel costs, indicating potential risk/reward setups.

Frequently asked questions

Wheat futures were supported by a 12% increase in shipments and anticipated import growth from Brazil and Argentina due to production issues.

Corn futures declined as investors trimmed their long positions, despite sales outpacing last year's figures.

New crop corn prices are lower than before the war started, even though fertilizer and diesel costs are higher.

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Cadence
CME Headlines
  • Live Cattle futures fell as liquidation trend extended.
    8 Jul · 8:17 PM
  • Live Cattle futures fell as liquidation trend extended.
    8 Jul · 8:17 PM
  • Grain futures turned lower as wheat snapped six-day rally.
    8 Jul · 8:06 PM

How It Developed

2 Jun · 1:52 PM
New article notes current corn prices are lower than pre-war levels despite increased fertilizer and diesel costs.
@GrainStats via PiQSuite
2 Jun · 6:41 AM
Restates earlier reporting on wheat and corn futures, adding that canola is tracking soybean oil upwards.
@Advice_GrainUK via PiQSuite
1 Jun · 8:47 PM
Wheat futures increased due to strong shipments, while corn futures decreased.
@PiQSuite via PiQSuite
1 Jun · 8:33 PM
Article adds that wheat shipments slightly dropped, contradicting earlier reports of a 12% increase.
CME Group | Grains via PiQSuite

Sources

T1
🎬 WATCH: Wheat futures rose on strong shipments as corn futures fell. https://t.co/rvEbW7XbdI@PiQSuite via PiQSuite
T1
Wheat futures rose on strong shipments as corn futures fell. 6/1/26m.piqsuite.com
T1
Wheat futures rose on strong shipments as corn futures fell.m.piqsuite.com
T1
Wheat futures rose on strong shipments as corn futures fell. 6/1/26m.piqsuite.com
T1
👀 In overnight trade #Wheat 🌾 continues to dump, #Crude retreats, and #Canola keeps tracking #SoybeanOil (blue on charts) up. _ https://t.co/d9qXFt2Th4@Advice_GrainUK via PiQSuite
T1
Another interesting observation 🌽 New crop Corn prices are LOWER than before the war started, with fertilizer costs and diesel much higher good to pay attention risk/reward setups https://t.co/9Q4p2u0B88@GrainStats via PiQSuite

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