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WA oil refinery plan called 'dinosaur technology' amid clean energy push

Created at 29 Jul · 6:26 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Experts have criticized a proposed new oil refinery in Western Australia, calling it 'dinosaur technology' that would require subsidies and fail to improve fuel security. They suggest investing in green technology instead, as Australia's domestic crude oil production is declining rapidly.

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Key Numbers

$4mfeasibility study funding
20, 30 yearsprojected profitable return timeframe
10 yearstimeframe for reduced oil and gas need
7 yearsprojected timeframe for domestic crude oil production to cease
95%reliance on foreign fuel imports
4%locally refined fuel from Australian crude
6Australian oil refineries closed since 2003
8total Australian oil refineries

Who's Involved

Greg Bourne
Councillor at the Climate Council and former regional president of BP Australia
Prof Frank Jotzo
Director of the Centre for Climate and Energy Policy at Australian National University
Baethan Mullen
Chief executive of the Superpower Institute
Albanese government
Australian federal government funding the feasibility study
WA government
Western Australian government partnering on the feasibility study
Geoscience Australia
Government agency that projected declining crude oil production
Superpower Institute
Thinktank that analyzed Australia's fuel import reliance

↳ Why This Matters

The debate over a new oil refinery highlights the tension between energy security concerns and the global transition to cleaner energy sources, with experts questioning the long-term economic viability and strategic benefit of fossil fuel infrastructure.

Key facts

  • Experts argue a proposed new oil refinery in Western Australia represents 'dinosaur technology'.
  • The Australian government is funding a $4m feasibility study for the refinery.
  • Experts believe the project would be uneconomic and require government subsidies.
  • Australia's domestic crude oil production is projected to cease within seven years.
  • A new refinery would likely rely on imported crude oil, not enhancing fuel security.
  • Six of Australia's eight oil refineries have closed since 2003.

Leading climate policy experts have described a proposed new oil refinery in Western Australia as an investment in "dinosaur technology" that would not solve Australia's fuel security issues and would require public subsidies. The Australian government recently announced a $4 million early-stage feasibility study for the project in the Pilbara region.

Experts argue that the money would be better allocated to green technologies to reduce the nation's reliance on fossil fuels. Greg Bourne, a councillor at the Climate Council and former regional president of BP in Australia, stated that achieving a profitable return over the next 20 to 30 years would be difficult, given the projected decline in oil and gas demand. He suggested that by 2035, oil and gas would be less necessary.

Professor Frank Jotzo, director of the Centre for Climate and Energy Policy at Australian National University, criticized the refinery proposal at the Clean Energy Summit in Sydney, calling it a "big signal against the clean energy transition." He noted that Australia's domestic crude oil production is rapidly declining and is projected to cease within seven years without new discoveries. Jotzo believes that any new refinery would likely need government subsidies to compete with more efficient mega-refineries in Asia and that future liquid fuels should come from renewable electricity.

Baethan Mullen, chief executive of the Superpower Institute, pointed out that Australia currently relies on foreign imports for 95% of its fuel. He explained that a new refinery would likely process imported crude oil, offering little improvement to sovereign capability. Mullen also highlighted that condensate, a byproduct of gas extraction, is not typically used to produce diesel, a critical fuel for sectors like mining and agriculture in Western Australia. He concluded that rebuilding refining capacity in Australia is not a viable prospect, as evidenced by the closure of six of the country's eight oil refineries since 2003 due to economic unviability against Asian competitors.

Frequently asked questions

Experts call it 'dinosaur technology' and argue it would be uneconomic, require subsidies, and not improve Australia's fuel security due to declining domestic crude oil production and competition from larger Asian refineries.

Australia is 95% reliant on foreign imports for fuel, with only 4% refined locally from Australian crude oil.

Geoscience Australia projects that domestic crude oil production will cease within the next seven years without new commercial discoveries.

Experts suggest that any government subsidies should be directed towards next-generation technologies that produce zero-emission liquid fuels, aligning with the clean energy transition.

What Happens Next

01The feasibility study for the new oil refinery is expected to be completed.
02Further government decisions on potential subsidies for new refining capacity will be made.

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How It Developed

The Australian government announced a feasibility study for a new oil refinery in Western Australia.
Experts stated that a new refinery would be uneconomic and require government subsidies.
Greg Bourne noted that profitability over 20-30 years is unlikely due to declining oil demand.
Prof Frank Jotzo criticized the investment as a signal against the clean energy transition.
Jotzo suggested subsidizing zero-emission liquid fuel technologies instead of old refining capacity.
Geoscience Australia projects domestic crude oil production to cease within 7 years without new discoveries.
Baethan Mullen stated a new refinery would likely refine imported crude, not improving sovereign capability.
Mullen highlighted that diesel, a key product, is not typically made from condensate.

Sources

T1
Mooted WA oil refinery ‘dinosaur technology’ amid clean energy transition, experts sayThe Guardian

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