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Russia Captures Record Share of India’s Oil Market

Created at 14 Aug · 7:16 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Russia's crude oil exports to India surged 62.4% year-over-year in July, reaching a record 50.83% share of India's total import volumes. Despite a recent U.S. sanction waiver expiration, Russia remains India's largest oil supplier, though volumes dipped from June's peak.

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Key Numbers

50.83%Russia's share of India's total oil imports in July
2.47 million barrels dailyRussia's average crude oil exports to India in July
62.4%Year-over-year surge in Russian oil exports to India
2.6 million barrels dailyJune average for Russian oil shipments to India
617,000 barrels dailyUAE oil exports to India in July
586,000 barrels dailySaudi Arabia oil exports to India in July
over 2 million barrels dailyAverage Russian oil imports to India since April 1
42%Russia's share of India's total oil imports since April 1

Who's Involved

Russia
Largest oil supplier to India
India
Third-largest oil buyer, increasing Russian imports
United Arab Emirates
Second-largest oil supplier to India
Saudi Arabia
Third-largest oil supplier to India
Reuters
Reported on India's oil import mix citing trade sources
Kpler
Estimated Russian oil flows to India in July
Russia Captures Record Share of India’s Oil Market

↳ Why This Matters

Russia's increasing dominance in India's oil market highlights shifting global energy flows and potential geopolitical implications, particularly in light of new U.S. sanctions that could disrupt these trade patterns and impact global oil supply dynamics.

Key facts

  • Russia's share of India's total oil imports reached a record 50.83% in July.
  • Daily crude oil exports from Russia to India averaged 2.47 million barrels in July.
  • This represents a 62.4% increase in Russian oil exports to India compared to a year ago.
  • The UAE and Saudi Arabia were India's next largest suppliers, with significantly lower volumes.

Russia has captured a record share of India's oil market, with imports from Russia accounting for over 50% of the country's total import volumes last month. This marks the highest proportion of Russian oil in India's import mix, according to a Reuters report citing unnamed trade sources.

Russia exported approximately 2.47 million barrels of crude oil daily to India in July, a 62.4% surge from the previous year. This volume represented a 50.83% share of total oil imports for the world's third-largest oil consumer. However, July's daily average was a slight decrease from June's figure of 2.6 million barrels per day, which was the highest monthly average for Russian oil shipments to India.

Data from Kpler indicated that Russian oil flows to India averaged 2.45 million barrels daily in July, even after the expiration of a U.S. sanction waiver on these flows. Russia maintained its position as India's largest oil supplier, followed by the United Arab Emirates (617,000 barrels daily) and Saudi Arabia (586,000 barrels daily).

Since the beginning of India's new fiscal year on April 1, Russian oil has been flowing at all-time high rates, averaging over 2 million barrels daily and constituting more than 42% of India's total oil imports during this period. This is an increase from the 37% share Russian oil held a year earlier.

Reuters noted that this trend could change following the latest U.S. sanctions, which include imposing 100% tariffs on imports from countries that purchase Russian crude. The bill has passed the Senate and awaits House of Representatives approval. Choking India's oil imports from Russia could prove challenging, especially with the ongoing war in the Middle East limiting alternative sources for the volumes required by Indian refiners, even with record U.S. exports.

Frequently asked questions

In July, Russian crude oil accounted for over 50% of India's total oil import volumes, marking a record high.

Russia exported approximately 2.47 million barrels of crude oil daily to India in July.

New U.S. sanctions could impose 100% tariffs on imports from countries buying Russian crude, potentially disrupting India's current import patterns.

Following Russia, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia are India's next largest oil suppliers, though with significantly lower volumes.

What Happens Next

01The U.S. House of Representatives must approve the new sanctions bill.
02Indian refiners will assess alternative oil sources if sanctions are implemented.
03Global oil supply dynamics will be monitored for further shifts.

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How It Developed

Russia's share of India's oil imports reached a record 50.83% in July.
Russia exported approximately 2.47 million barrels of crude daily to India in July.
July's Russian oil exports to India represented a 62.4% increase from the previous year.
July's daily average of Russian oil shipments to India declined from June's peak of 2.6 million barrels.
Russian oil flows to India have averaged over 2 million barrels daily since April 1, comprising over 42% of total imports.
New U.S. sanctions could potentially alter India's Russian oil imports, though alternative sources are limited.

Sources

T1
Russia Captures Record Share of India’s Oil MarketOilPrice.com

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