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Oil Tankers Face Extended Journeys, Higher Costs Fleeing Red Sea Chokepoints

Created at 23 Jul · 11:09 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Disruptions in the Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb straits are forcing Saudi Arabia to reroute oil exports via the Suez Canal and around Africa, adding significant time and cost to journeys, particularly for Asian buyers.

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Key Numbers

$2.5 millionestimated additional cost for tankers
$2.87 millionestimated fuel cost for Africa route
$1.26 millionestimated fuel cost for Bab el-Mandeb route
$1 millionSuez Canal fees
48 daystransit time via Suez and around Africa
19 daystransit time via Bab el-Mandeb
2.5 million barrels per daySumed pipeline transport capacity
7 million bpdSaudi Arabia's total oil exports

Who's Involved

Saudi Arabia
Rerouting oil exports due to shipping lane disruptions
Iran
Disrupting oil export routes
Houthi militants
Attacking ships in the Red Sea, disrupting routes
Kpler
Provided shipping data
LSEG
Provided shipping data and calculations
Energy Aspects
Provided analysis on tanker operations
Oil Tankers Face Extended Journeys, Higher Costs Fleeing Red Sea Chokepoints

↳ Why This Matters

The rerouting of Saudi oil exports highlights the increasing geopolitical risks to global energy supply chains and the substantial cost increases that can result from disruptions to key shipping chokepoints.

Key facts

  • Saudi Arabia is rerouting oil exports via the Suez Canal due to disruptions in the Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb straits.
  • Journeys to Asia will now require circumnavigating Africa, adding about a month to transit times.
  • The extended route is estimated to double fuel costs to $2.87 million per tanker.
  • Suez Canal fees add an additional $1 million per crossing.
  • Tankers may need to sail partially empty through the Suez Canal and top up in the Mediterranean.
  • The Sumed pipeline offers an alternative for transferring oil between the Red Sea and Mediterranean.

Saudi Arabia is rerouting the majority of its oil exports through the Suez Canal and around the Cape of Good Hope due to disruptions in the Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb straits, caused by Iran and Iran-allied Houthi militants. This change significantly extends journey times, particularly for Asian buyers, adding approximately one month to voyages that previously passed through the Bab el-Mandeb strait.

The longer route via Suez, the Mediterranean, and around Africa will take an estimated 48 days, compared to the 19 days previously required to reach Taiwan via Bab el-Mandeb. This extended transit will nearly double fuel costs, from an estimated $1.26 million to $2.87 million per tanker. Additionally, crossing the Suez Canal incurs fees of approximately $1 million.

Due to draft restrictions in the Suez Canal, larger tankers may need to sail partially empty and then top up their loads in the Mediterranean. To facilitate this, Saudi Arabia could utilize the Sumed pipeline, which connects the Red Sea to the Mediterranean and has a capacity of up to 2.5 million barrels per day, a significant portion of the kingdom's total 7 million barrels per day export volume.

Frequently asked questions

These key oil export routes are being disrupted by Iran and Iran-allied Houthi militants, making them unsafe for passage.

Saudi Arabia is now rerouting most of its oil exports via Egypt's Suez Canal and, for Asian buyers, circumnavigating the entire continent of Africa.

The journey around Africa via Suez takes approximately 48 days, compared to about 19 days via the Bab el-Mandeb strait.

Fuel costs are expected to double to around $2.87 million, with an additional $1 million in Suez Canal fees, bringing the total extra cost to roughly $2.5 million.

What Happens Next

01Monitor further attacks on shipping in the Red Sea.
02Observe Saudi Arabia's utilization of the Sumed pipeline.
03Track the impact of increased shipping costs on global oil prices.

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How It Developed

Oil export routes through Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb straits are disrupted by Iran and Houthi militants.
Saudi Arabia is rerouting oil exports via Egypt's Suez Canal.
Journeys to Asia will now circumnavigate Africa, adding approximately one month.
A route via Suez, the Mediterranean, and around the Cape of Good Hope takes 48 days, compared to 19 days via Bab el-Mandeb.
Fuel costs for the longer route are estimated to double to $2.87 million from $1.26 million.
Suez Canal crossing fees add $1 million.
Tankers may need to sail half-empty through Suez due to restrictions and top up in the Mediterranean.
The Sumed pipeline could be used to partially unload tankers, bypassing Suez and connecting the Red Sea to the Mediterranean.
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Sources

T1
Add a month at sea and $2.5 million - what it costs oil tankers to flee Hormuz and Bab el-MandebReuters

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