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Trump's New Tariff Strategy Focuses on Durable Trade Wall

Created at 25 Jul · 10:04 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

President Trump is rebuilding U.S. tariff structures using more traditional trade laws after a Supreme Court defeat, with new duties on 60 countries and more actions expected. This strategy aims for durability and aims to secure concessions from trading partners.

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Key Numbers

10%minimum tariff rate on 60 countries
12.5%maximum tariff rate on 60 countries
99.4%U.S. imports covered by new duties
18 monthstime since Trump's return to office
$3.4 trillionU.S. import market value
10%-50%range of previous 'Liberation Day' tariffs
$166 billionrevenue from 'Liberation Day' tariffs
$31 billionassessed revenue from temporary tariffs
$40 trillionapproaching U.S. public debt
20%cap for China tariffs agreed in November
25%tariffs from Trump's first term on China

Who's Involved

Donald Trump
U.S. President implementing new tariff strategy
Dan Ujczo
Associate general counsel at Canadian oil producer Cenovus Energy
Mark Bissell
CEO of Michigan-based vacuum maker Bissell Inc
Josh Lipsky
Chair of international economics at the Atlantic Council
Jamieson Greer
U.S. Trade Representative
Xi Jinping
Chinese President
Eswar Prasad
Trade professor at Cornell University
Trump's New Tariff Strategy Focuses on Durable Trade Wall

↳ Why This Matters

President Trump's renewed focus on tariffs, now grounded in more established legal frameworks, signals a potentially long-lasting shift in U.S. trade policy. This could lead to increased costs for businesses and consumers, altered global supply chains, and ongoing trade disputes, impacting both domestic and international economies.

Key facts

  • President Trump is implementing a new tariff strategy using traditional trade laws after a Supreme Court ruling invalidated previous measures.
  • New global tariffs of 10% or 12.5% have been imposed on 60 countries over alleged weak enforcement of forced-labor bans.
  • These duties are part of a broader strategy to rebuild U.S. tariffs and secure concessions from trading partners.
  • Further investigations into excess industrial capacity, intellectual property theft, and national security for strategic industries are underway.
  • The U.S. Trade Representative stated that the trade strategy remains consistent, focusing on reshoring production and reducing trade deficits.

U.S. President Donald Trump is re-establishing a robust tariff policy, moving away from the untested legal grounds used in his first term towards more traditional and court-tested trade laws. This shift follows a Supreme Court decision that invalidated some of his earlier measures. The new strategy involves imposing duties on a wide range of countries, aiming to secure concessions and protect domestic industries.

The latest action includes tariffs of 10% or 12.5% on imports from 60 countries, citing weak enforcement of forced-labor bans. This move, utilizing Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, effectively replaces a temporary global tariff that recently expired and covers nearly all U.S. imports. This approach is designed to be more durable than previous emergency-use tariffs.

Further tariff actions are anticipated in the coming months, targeting issues such as excess industrial capacity, intellectual property theft by Vietnam, and national security concerns for sectors like semiconductors and robotics. Experts suggest that significant parts of Trump's trade policy will be fully in effect by the end of the summer, potentially bringing more clarity for businesses but also concern for foreign trade ministries.

Some businesses, like vacuum maker Bissell Inc., have anticipated tariffs remaining within a 10-15% range and have not aggressively front-loaded inventory. The previous "Liberation Day" tariffs, which ranged from 10%-50%, generated substantial revenue for the U.S. Treasury, helping to offset the federal deficit, though refunds have since reduced this impact. The new tariffs are expected to continue providing revenue, which some analysts believe subsequent administrations may become reliant upon.

Legal challenges to the new forced-labor tariffs have been filed by small businesses, but trade experts believe the use of Section 301, which has a strong court record, may face fewer obstacles. U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer affirmed that the administration's trade strategy of reshoring production and reducing trade deficits remains unchanged, even as the specific legal authorities used have evolved. While tariff rates are expected to stay within negotiated caps, some spontaneous announcements and threats, such as those concerning Canadian beer or Spain's NATO spending, continue to pose a risk to the global trading system and American households and businesses.

Frequently asked questions

The U.S. is implementing a new tariff strategy using more traditional and court-tested trade laws, following a Supreme Court defeat of earlier measures. This involves imposing duties on numerous countries to secure concessions and reshore production.

The latest tariffs target 60 countries over alleged weak enforcement of forced-labor bans. Future actions will address excess industrial capacity, intellectual property theft, and national security for strategic industries.

The new tariffs are based on established legal statutes like Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, which have a stronger track record in courts, unlike the untested national emergencies law used previously.

Businesses may face more clarity on the tariff structure, but also dread potential increases in costs and the need to make further concessions. Some anticipate tariffs remaining in the 10-15% range.

What Happens Next

01Further tariff actions are expected in the coming months.
02Investigations into excess industrial capacity and intellectual property theft are ongoing.
03Legal challenges to the new forced-labor tariffs are expected to proceed.

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Cadence

How It Developed

President Trump's administration is implementing a new tariff strategy using established trade laws.
New duties have been imposed on 60 countries over alleged weak enforcement of forced-labor bans.
These new tariffs replace a temporary global tariff that expired.
The administration is also investigating excess industrial capacity and intellectual property theft.
Tariff actions are expected to continue in the coming months.
The strategy aims to create a more durable tariff wall and secure trade concessions.
Some businesses anticipate tariffs remaining in the 10-15% range.
Tariff revenue has previously offset the U.S. federal deficit.
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Sources

T1
This wave of Trump tariffs is likely here to stay; more are comingReuters

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