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Trump's Mail Ballot Scrutiny Puts Postal Service at Center of Midterm Elections

Created at 29 Jul · 10:36 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

President Donald Trump's focus on mail-in balloting and concerns over delivery delays have placed the U.S. Postal Service at the forefront of the midterm election season. Trump's executive order aims to control mail ballot distribution, while operational changes at USPS have led to worries about timely ballot delivery.

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Key Numbers

six weeksbefore first midterm ballots are mailed
fourcases of fraud per 10 million mail ballots
30%of U.S. voters cast ballots by mail in 2024
2 millionabsentee ballots sent out in Michigan for Aug. 4 primary
nearly two dozenstates filed a federal lawsuit
139 milesaverage mail travel distance to processing centers
500 milesmaximum mail travel distance to processing centers
148,000ballots rejected in California's June primary
63%of rejected California ballots arrived too late

Who's Involved

Donald Trump
President seeking greater control over mail balloting
U.S. Postal Service
Agency facing scrutiny over mail delivery and election processes
Democratic officials
Raising concerns over ballot delivery delays and Trump's executive order
Jonathan Smith
President of the American Postal Workers Union
Tammy Baldwin
Wisconsin Senator criticizing Trump's election meddling
Sophia Lin Lakin
ACLU Voting Rights Project director

↳ Why This Matters

The U.S. Postal Service's operational efficiency and the legal battles surrounding President Trump's executive order on mail balloting could significantly impact voter access and the integrity of election outcomes in the upcoming midterms, potentially influencing control of Congress.

Key facts

  • President Donald Trump's executive order seeks to establish a national voter list to guide USPS in mail ballot distribution.
  • Concerns have been raised by Democratic officials and election offices about USPS's ability to deliver ballots on time.
  • The postal workers' union opposes the plan for a national voter list and its use in determining ballot eligibility.
  • USPS is consolidating mail processing centers, which has been linked to delays in ballot delivery.
  • Legal challenges to Trump's executive order are ongoing, with mixed rulings from federal courts.

The U.S. Postal Service has become a central figure in the upcoming midterm elections, with President Donald Trump's administration seeking greater control over mail balloting and operational changes at USPS leading to concerns about timely delivery.

Trump has repeatedly attacked mail-in balloting, characterizing it as "inherently corrupt," despite its popularity among voters and his own past use of the method. His administration issued an executive order in March that aims to create a national voter list, restricting mail ballot eligibility to those on the list. This order has faced numerous legal challenges, with a federal judge blocking it and an appeals court upholding that decision, though a separate appeals court declined to block it in another case.

Democratic officials and election offices in states like California and Wisconsin have expressed alarm over ballots arriving too late to be counted, citing USPS processing delays. Some states, including Kansas and Michigan, are advising voters to avoid mail and use in-person drop-off options. The American Postal Workers Union, representing USPS employees, opposes the national voter list plan, arguing it is not the postal service's role to determine voter eligibility. Union president Jonathan Smith indicated that IT staff are working on the voter list portal "behind the scenes," though USPS declined to comment due to ongoing litigation.

USPS has been consolidating mail processing centers, a move that has been linked to increased mail travel distances and delays. California officials stated that these changes contributed to the rejection of over 148,000 ballots in its June primary, with a significant portion arriving too late despite grace periods. The Postal Service maintains its commitment to fulfilling its role in the electoral process, providing a secure and efficient method for citizens to participate when mail balloting is used.

Frequently asked questions

President Trump has repeatedly claimed that mail balloting is "inherently corrupt" and has sought to implement restrictions on who can receive mail ballots through an executive order.

Concerns include the U.S. Postal Service's ability to deliver mail ballots on time due to operational changes and potential delays, which could lead to ballots not being counted.

The union opposes the plan for a national voter list and believes it is not the postal service's responsibility to determine voter eligibility. They advocate for protecting and expanding vote-by-mail.

A federal judge blocked the order, and an appeals court upheld that ruling. However, a separate appeals court declined to block the order in another case, deeming a challenge premature.

What Happens Next

01The U.S. Supreme Court is expected to rule on the Trump administration's appeal regarding restrictions on mail balloting.
02Further legal challenges to the executive order may arise as the election approaches.
03The Postal Service's ability to process and deliver mail ballots on time will be closely monitored.

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Cadence

How It Developed

The U.S. Postal Service is a key player in the upcoming midterm elections.
President Donald Trump is seeking more control over mail balloting via an executive order.
Changes to mail processing have led to criticism of USPS's ability to deliver ballots on time.
Democratic officials have expressed concerns over late ballot arrivals in California and Wisconsin.
Kansas and Michigan election offices are advising voters to avoid mail and opt for in-person drop-offs.
USPS stated its commitment to its role in the electoral process.
Trump's March executive order aims to create a national voter list for mail ballot eligibility.
The executive order has faced multiple lawsuits and federal court rulings.

Sources

T1
Trump’s attacks on mail balloting and concerns over delays turn midterms spotlight on Postal ServiceAP News

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