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Democrats' support for Israel erodes over Gaza conflict, Netanyahu ties

Created at 29 Jul · 5:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Support for Israel among Democratic voters has significantly declined due to the conflict in Gaza and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's close ties to U.S. Republicans. This shift is creating partisan divides in Congress and influencing key Democratic primaries.

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Key Numbers

$3.8 billionannual U.S. military aid to Israel
48%U.S. voters believing U.S. is too supportive of Israel (June poll)
66%Democrats believing U.S. is too supportive of Israel (June poll)
16%U.S. voters believing U.S. is too supportive of Israel (2017)
20%Democrats believing U.S. is too supportive of Israel (2017)
October 7, 2023Hamas-led attack date
more than 73,000Palestinians killed in Gaza conflict
August 18Florida Democratic primary date
32 percentage pointsMoskowitz's lead in Florida primary polls

Who's Involved

Benjamin Netanyahu
Prime Minister of Israel, whose close ties to U.S. Republicans are a factor
Hakeem Jeffries
House Democratic Leader who opposed a measure to cut off aid to Israel
Nancy Pelosi
Former Speaker who voted for a failed amendment to cut off aid to Israel
Katherine Clark
House Democratic Whip who voted for a failed amendment to cut off aid to Israel
Chris Coons
U.S. Senator and leading Democrat on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Danny Danon
Israel's ambassador to the United Nations
Abdul El-Sayed
Progressive candidate in Michigan's Democratic U.S. Senate primary
Haley Stevens
U.S. Representative and candidate in Michigan's Democratic U.S. Senate primary
Mike Rogers
Republican facing the winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary
Barack Obama
Former U.S. President whose Iran nuclear deal was criticized by Netanyahu
Kamala Harris
Democratic nominee whose loss in a previous election was linked to Biden's stance on Israel
Zohran Mamdani
New York Mayor who called for Netanyahu's arrest for alleged war crimes
Jeremy Ben-Ami
President of J Street, a progressive pro-Israel group
Shibley Telhami
University of Maryland professor and senior fellow at the Brookings Institution
Mike Lawler
Republican Representative using Democratic shifts on Israel to attack challenger
Cait Conley
Challenger to Representative Mike Lawler
Jared Moskowitz
Moderate Representative facing a primary challenge over Israel aid
Oliver Larkin
Democratic socialist challenging Representative Jared Moskowitz
Diana DeGette
Longtime U.S. Representative defeated in Colorado primary
Melat Kiros
Challenger who defeated Representative Diana DeGette
Mazie Hirono
U.S. Senator advocating for a two-state solution and more humanitarian aid for Palestinians
AIPAC
American Israel Public Affairs Committee, a major donor to Haley Stevens
Hamas
Militant group involved in the October 7th attack and Israel's war in Gaza
Reuters
News agency reporting on the story
Democrats' support for Israel erodes over Gaza conflict, Netanyahu ties

↳ Why This Matters

The erosion of bipartisan support for Israel within the Democratic Party signals a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy and could impact future aid packages, diplomatic relations, and the broader Middle East landscape. It highlights growing divisions within the U.S. electorate and Congress on foreign intervention and human rights.

Key facts

  • Support for Israel among Democratic voters has significantly declined.
  • Nearly half of House Democrats voted for an amendment to cut off aid to Israel.
  • Democrats are divided on the continuation, restriction, or halting of military aid to Israel.
  • A Quinnipiac poll found 66% of Democrats believe the U.S. is too supportive of Israel.
  • The conflict in Gaza and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's ties to Republicans are key factors in the shift.
  • The issue of Israel is becoming a wedge issue within the Democratic Party and influencing congressional races.

Support for Israel, long a bipartisan cornerstone of U.S. foreign policy, is increasingly becoming a partisan issue, particularly within the Democratic Party. Decades of unwavering backing are eroding due to Israel's actions in Gaza, its ongoing conflict with Iran, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's close alignment with U.S. Republicans. This shift is manifesting in Congress, where nearly half of House Democrats recently supported an amendment to cut off aid to Israel, a measure that would have previously faced overwhelming bipartisan opposition. Democrats are now divided on the extent and nature of military aid, with some advocating for restrictions or a complete halt.

The changing sentiment is also evident in primary elections. In Michigan, a key battleground state, the Democratic U.S. Senate primary features candidates with starkly different views on U.S. support for Israel, reflecting a broader party debate. Progressive candidates are increasingly questioning long-standing U.S. military aid, with some accusing Israel of genocide and apartheid, allegations Israel denies.

Historical events, such as Netanyahu's 2015 speech criticizing President Obama's Iran nuclear deal, have contributed to strains. However, Israel's war in Gaza following the October 7th Hamas attack has significantly intensified criticism, particularly among younger Democrats. Analysts suggest this shift could have political consequences, with some linking President Biden's stance to past electoral losses. The issue is reshaping congressional campaigns, with Republicans leveraging the Democratic divide to attack opponents.

While support for Israel remains in the mainstream for many, the intensity of the debate and the willingness of lawmakers to challenge the status quo indicate a significant paradigm shift. This evolving landscape poses a challenge to one of America's most enduring alliances, potentially transforming it into a deeply divided partisan issue.

Frequently asked questions

Israel receives $3.8 billion annually in U.S. military aid and has received billions more in emergency funds in recent years.

The decline is attributed to Israel's attacks on Gaza, its conflict with Iran, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's close ties to U.S. Republicans.

Nearly half of House Democrats voted for a failed amendment to cut off aid to Israel, a measure that would have previously been overwhelmingly bipartisan.

Democrats are divided on whether military aid should continue unchanged, be restricted to defensive weapons, or be halted altogether.

What Happens Next

01The outcome of the Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate primary on Tuesday will be a key test of the shifting sentiment.
02Congressional campaigns in battleground districts will continue to feature debates over Israel aid.
03Israeli elections are scheduled for October, which some hope could lead to a change in direction and restore bipartisan U.S. support.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Support for Israel has historically united Washington across party lines.
Democratic voter sentiment toward Israel has declined significantly.
Candidates critical of Israel are winning Democratic primaries.
Moderate lawmakers are increasingly challenging decades of U.S. support for Israel.
Nearly half of House Democrats voted for an amendment to cut off aid to Israel.
Democrats are divided on whether military aid should continue unchanged, be restricted, or be halted.
A Quinnipiac University poll showed a majority of Democrats believe the U.S. is too supportive of Israel.
The Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate primary is a major test for competing visions of U.S. support for Israel.

Sources

T1
Israel's decades-old US support risks losing DemocratsReuters

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