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Progressives eye Wisconsin win as national leaders hesitate

Created at 11 Aug · 8:51 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Progressives believe Francesca Hong could secure a significant victory in Wisconsin's gubernatorial primary, but many national progressive leaders have withheld endorsements, citing concerns about her messaging and electability.

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Key Numbers

30,000votes Trump won Wisconsin by in 2016
21,000votes Biden won Wisconsin by in 2020

Who's Involved

Francesca Hong
Democratic socialist candidate for Wisconsin governor
David Crowley
Tony Evers' chosen successor and primary opponent
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
U.S. Representative focused on congressional races
Bernie Sanders
U.S. Senator not endorsing Hong
Elizabeth Warren
U.S. Senator unfamiliar with Hong
Tom Tiffany
Donald Trump-backed Republican opponent
Alan Minsky
Executive Director of Progressive Democrats of America
Ilhan Omar
U.S. Representative campaigning for Hong
Hasan Piker
Leftist influencer who rallied with Hong
Ro Khanna
U.S. Representative endorsing Hong
Renee Faust
Hong's deputy campaign manager, advocate for sex workers
Paige Gerber
Hong supporter
Devin Remiker
Wisconsin State Party Chair
Tony Evers
Wisconsin Governor

↳ Why This Matters

A victory for Francesca Hong in Wisconsin could signal the viability of progressive politics in a key battleground state, potentially influencing future national candidacies and the Democratic Party's direction. The hesitation from established progressive leaders highlights internal debates about electability and messaging within the party.

Key facts

  • Progressives believe Francesca Hong is poised for a significant win in the Wisconsin gubernatorial primary.
  • Many national progressive leaders have not endorsed Hong, citing concerns about her messaging and electability.
  • Hong's past social media posts advocating for canceling Thanksgiving and defunding the police have drawn criticism.
  • Republicans plan to attack Hong on her democratic socialist platform and her campaign staff.
  • Some Democratic officials express concern that Hong's "socialism" message may alienate persuadable voters in the battleground state.

Progressives are optimistic about Francesca Hong's chances in the Wisconsin gubernatorial primary, viewing a potential victory as a significant step for the movement. However, many prominent national progressive figures, including Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, have not endorsed Hong. Some have privately expressed concerns about her messaging and electability, particularly regarding past social media comments advocating for controversial positions like canceling Thanksgiving and defunding the police. These comments, which Hong now calls "bad takes," have become a point of attack for Republicans.

Despite the hesitation from some high-profile leaders, Hong has garnered support from various progressive groups and some federal lawmakers, such as Representative Ilhan Omar and Representative Ro Khanna, who has endorsed her. Leftist influencer Hasan Piker also recently campaigned with Hong. Republicans are planning coordinated attacks, focusing on Hong's adherence to the Democratic Socialists of America platform and her deputy campaign manager's past association with an OnlyFans account. Hong's campaign has defended its staff, highlighting their professional backgrounds and grassroots organizing efforts.

Interviews with Wisconsin voters suggest Hong has tapped into frustration with centrist Democratic leadership and local concerns about the cost of living, leading her in recent polls against rival David Crowley, though he has gained ground. If Hong wins the primary and general election against Republican Tom Tiffany, it could force national Democrats to take notice of her brand of politics. However, some Wisconsin Democratic officials worry that the "socialism" label and "unforced errors" in Hong's campaign could be detrimental in the closely divided state, where recent gubernatorial elections have been decided by narrow margins.

Frequently asked questions

The main candidates are Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist, and David Crowley, who is supported by Governor Tony Evers.

Some leaders have privately expressed concerns about her messaging and electability, particularly due to past social media posts, while others are focused on congressional races.

Critics point to her past social media posts advocating for controversial positions and her adherence to the Democratic Socialists of America platform. Republicans also plan to attack her campaign staff.

Hong has led Crowley by double digits in recent polls, though he has been making gains.

What Happens Next

01Wisconsin gubernatorial primary election on Tuesday.
02Potential general election campaign against Republican Tom Tiffany in November.
03Wisconsin Democrats plan a unity tour following the primary.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Progressives see a potential major victory in the Wisconsin governor primary.
Front-runner Francesca Hong faces Tony Evers' chosen successor David Crowley.
National progressive leaders like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders have not endorsed Hong.
Some leaders privately question Hong's messaging and electability due to past social media posts.
Hong's campaign faces Republican attacks on her socialist platform and staff.
Progressive groups and some lawmakers are actively supporting Hong's campaign.
Voter frustration with centrist Democratic policies could benefit Hong.
Wisconsin Democrats plan a unity tour post-primary to bridge internal divides.

Sources

T1
Progressives could score a huge Wisconsin win Tuesday. Some national figures don’t want to touch it.Politico

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