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Montana Senate Nominee Refuses to Withdraw, Complicating Democratic Strategy

Created at 10 Aug · 6:21 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Montana Democratic Senate nominee has refused to drop out of the race, despite pressure from party leaders and allies of independent candidate Alme. Her decision is expected to significantly complicate Democrats' efforts to flip the seat, potentially ceding the race to the Republican candidate.

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Key Numbers

20point lead for Alme with Bankhead on ballot

Who's Involved

Bankhead
Montana Democratic Senate nominee refusing to drop out
Alme
Independent candidate in Montana Senate race
Tester
Democrat, backing independent candidate Alme
Steve Bullock
Former Governor of Montana

↳ Why This Matters

The nominee's refusal to withdraw is a significant hurdle for Democrats aiming to gain a Senate majority, as it jeopardizes their chances of winning a crucial seat in a red-leaning state and could lead to a Republican victory.

Key facts

  • Montana Democratic Senate nominee has refused to withdraw from the race.
  • Her decision complicates Democratic efforts to flip the seat in the red-leaning state.
  • Bankhead stated she would only exit the race if divinely convinced.
  • Pressure from party leaders and allies of independent candidate Alme has not swayed her.
  • Polling indicates Alme leads by over 20 points when Bankhead is on the ballot.

Montana Democratic Senate nominee has rejected calls to withdraw from the race, a decision that significantly complicates the party's strategy to flip the seat. Despite pressure from party leaders and allies of independent candidate Alme, the nominee stated it would take a divine intervention to convince her to exit. Democrats have previously seen success in other red states by having their candidates drop out to support independents, but Bankhead's refusal in Montana is a major setback. Polling indicates that while independent candidate Alme is competitive in a head-to-head contest, Alme leads by over 20 points when Bankhead is also on the ballot. This split ticket is seen as likely to cede the race to the Republican candidate and narrow Democrats' path to a Senate majority. Allies of Alme have intensified their focus on Bankhead, with a super PAC running television advertisements and local groups posting signs urging her withdrawal. However, these efforts, along with appeals from over 20 local Democratic lawmakers and former party leaders, have not changed Bankhead's stance. Alme himself has publicly criticized Bankhead for the first time, referring to her as an 'unvetted' candidate.

Frequently asked questions

She believes her opponents were 'hand picked' by the establishment and has stated it would take 'a lighting bolt from God' to convince her to exit the race.

Her continued presence on the ballot is expected to split the Democratic vote, significantly increasing the Republican candidate's chances of winning and complicating Democrats' path to a Senate majority.

Yes, Democrats have had some success in other deep-red states by getting their candidates to drop out for independents, though legal challenges could still affect those efforts.

What Happens Next

01The election will proceed with Bankhead, Alme, and the Republican candidate on the ballot.
02Further campaign activities and messaging targeting Bankhead's candidacy are expected.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Montana Democratic Senate nominee refused to drop out of the race.
Bankhead stated it would take 'a lighting bolt from God' to convince her to exit.
Democrats have had success getting candidates to drop out for independents in other states.
Bankhead's refusal is expected to complicate Democrats' path to flipping the Montana seat.
Polling shows Bodnar in a competitive head-to-head against Alme, but Alme leads by over 20 points with both on the ballot.
Bodnar and his allies have increased focus on Bankhead, with a super PAC running TV ads and signs urging her to drop out.
Over 20 local Democratic lawmakers and former party leaders called on Bankhead to withdraw.
Bodnar publicly criticized Bankhead for the first time, calling her an 'unvetted' candidate.

Sources

T1
‘I’ll never bow down': Montana Democratic Senate nominee refuses to pave way for independentPolitico

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