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Prison early release review creates chaos, union says

Created at 23 Jul · 1:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

A union representing probation officers has stated that Andy Burnham's review of early release plans has caused "a sense of chaos" within the Prison Service. Officials are reportedly unsure how to proceed with the upcoming releases.

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Key Numbers

6,000prisoners potentially released early
2 Septemberstart date for early releases
13 yearsjail sentence for two of Harper's killers
6 to 8 weekstypical timeframe for pre-release preparations
one-thirdminimum sentence served for early release under new act

Who's Involved

Andy Burnham
Pledged to review early release plans
Napo
Probation union stating "chaos" in Prison Service
Alex Norris
New justice secretary to examine policy with Burnham
Andrew Harper
Police officer whose killers may be eligible for early release
Jessie Cole
One of Andrew Harper's killers eligible for early release
Albert Bowers
One of Andrew Harper's killers eligible for early release
Henry Long
Main perpetrator in Andrew Harper case, not subject to early release
Mark Fairhurst
National chair of the POA union for prison officers
Emma Reynolds
Chief Secretary to the Treasury

↳ Why This Matters

The review of early release plans has created uncertainty and potential disruption within the prison and probation services, impacting the implementation of new legislation and raising concerns for victims and the public regarding the release of serious offenders.

Key facts

  • A union representing probation officers has stated that Andy Burnham's review of early release plans has created "a sense of chaos" within the Prison Service.
  • Up to 6,000 prisoners are set to be released early from September 2 under the Sentencing Act 2026.
  • The Sentencing Act 2026 replaces automatic halfway release with a behavior-based system, allowing most prisoners to be released after serving a third of their sentence.
  • Prisoners serving time for sexual or violent offenses may be eligible for release at the halfway point.
  • The mother of murdered police officer Andrew Harper stated the potential early release of her son's killers is "another letdown."
  • Burnham confirmed that Henry Long, the main perpetrator in the Andrew Harper case, will not be subject to early release.

A pledge by Andy Burnham to review early release plans has reportedly created "a sense of chaos" within the Prison Service, according to the Napo probation union. Insiders confirmed the prime minister is examining potential exemptions to the law that would free up to 6,000 prisoners from September 2.

The Sentencing Act 2026 introduces an "earned progression model," allowing most prisoners to be released after serving a third of their sentence, with the remainder served under supervision in the community via electronic tagging. This contrasts with previous automatic halfway release for standard determinate sentences. Prisoners serving time for sexual or violent offenses, where the automatic release stage is typically two-thirds, could become eligible at the halfway point if they have not committed serious breaches of prison rules.

Napo national officer Tania Bassett stated that prison managers have not provided clear direction on how to proceed with the review, causing worry for staff undertaking extensive pre-release work. This work, which usually takes six to eight weeks, includes risk assessments, accommodation referrals, home visits, and coordinating with victim liaison officers. The union official warned that established release plans could collapse without "imminent, concrete direction."

The mother of murdered police officer Andrew Harper, whose killers Jessie Cole and Albert Bowers may be eligible for early release, called the situation "another letdown." Burnham confirmed that Henry Long, the main perpetrator in the case, will not be subject to early release. Mark Fairhurst, national chair of the POA union for prison officers, urged a rethink of the policy to allow exemptions for serious offenders, suggesting that those convicted of less serious crimes could be released to free up capacity.

Chief Secretary to the Treasury Emma Reynolds indicated that Burnham and the justice secretary will provide further clarity on the policy's implementation in the coming weeks.

Frequently asked questions

The Sentencing Act 2026 introduces an "earned progression model" that replaces automatic halfway release for prisoners serving standard determinate sentences in England and Wales with a tiered, behaviour-based system.

Most prisoners serving standard determinate sentences can be released after serving a third of their sentence. Prisoners serving time for sexual or violent offenses may be eligible for release at the halfway point, provided they have not committed serious breaches of prison rules.

The Napo union expressed concern that prison officials "do not know" how to respond to the review, creating "chaos" and potentially collapsing established release plans due to the short timeframe for pre-release work.

Jessie Cole and Albert Bowers, two of the killers of police officer Andrew Harper, are mentioned as potentially eligible for early release. Henry Long, the main perpetrator in that case, will not be subject to early release.

What Happens Next

01Burnham and the justice secretary will set out further details on the policy's implementation in the coming weeks.

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Cadence

How It Developed

Andy Burnham pledged to review early release plans.
The Napo probation union reported "a sense of chaos" in the Prison Service.
Prison officials reportedly do not know how to respond to the review.
The Sentencing Act 2026 introduces an "earned progression model" for early release.
Up to 6,000 prisoners may be released early starting September 2.
Killers, rapists, and sex offenders are among those eligible for early release.
The mother of murdered police officer Andrew Harper expressed disappointment.
Two of Harper's killers may be eligible for early release.
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Sources

T1
Burnham’s review of prison early release scheme is causing chaos, says unionThe Guardian

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