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Obamacare insurers seek 14% median premium increase for 2027

Created at 8 Jul · 9:06 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Insurers offering Obamacare plans are requesting a median premium increase of 14% for 2027, according to KFF data. This proposed rate hike, the second-highest since 2018, is driven by an anticipated rise in sicker enrollees, economic inflation, and increased healthcare costs.

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Key Numbers

14%median premium increase requested for 2027
2027year for proposed rate increases
4%projected premium increase from sicker patients
13%decline in Obamacare enrollment in 2026
22.1 millionObamacare enrollees in 2025
19.2 millionestimated Obamacare enrollees currently
58%premium increase in 2026 without subsidies
$1,000increase in deductibles per person without subsidies
77insurers analyzed by KFF
16states and Washington D.C. analyzed
33%projected premium increase between 2025 and 2027

Who's Involved

KFF
health policy research group providing data on premium increases
Centene
insurer flagging elevated medical costs in Obamacare business
UnitedHealth
insurer flagging elevated medical costs in Obamacare business
CVS Health
announced Aetna unit would exit Obamacare plans due to costs
Barack Obama
President whose Affordable Care Act created the plans
Obamacare insurers seek 14% median premium increase for 2027

↳ Why This Matters

The proposed premium increases could significantly impact healthcare affordability for millions of Americans enrolled in Obamacare plans, particularly after the expiration of pandemic-era subsidies. This trend highlights ongoing challenges in balancing insurer costs with accessible healthcare coverage.

Key facts

  • Insurers are requesting a median premium increase of 14% for 2027 Obamacare plans.
  • This proposed rate is the second-highest increase requested since 2018.
  • Factors driving the increase include more high-risk patients, economic inflation, and rising medication costs.
  • Obamacare enrollment saw a 13% decline in 2026 after the expiration of pandemic-era subsidies.
  • Without subsidies, premiums increased 58% in 2026 and deductibles rose about $1,000 per person.

Companies offering health insurance plans under the Affordable Care Act, commonly known as Obamacare, are seeking significant premium increases for 2027. According to data compiled by the health policy research group KFF, insurers are requesting a median rate increase of 14% over 2026 premiums.

This proposed rate hike represents the second-largest increase since 2018. Insurers are required to submit their proposals to regulators by July 15, detailing their expected costs and planned price adjustments for the upcoming year. Last year, insurers requested an 18% median rate hike, citing an anticipated imbalance between sicker patients and healthier enrollees.

For 2027, insurers anticipate that a growing pool of patients with greater medical needs will drive premiums up by an estimated 4%, as healthier individuals continue to drop coverage. The rising costs of medications, broader economic inflation, and increased consolidation among medical providers are also cited as key drivers for the proposed premium increases.

Obamacare enrollment experienced a 13% decline in 2026, falling from 22.1 million people in 2025. This decrease occurred after the expiration of enhanced subsidies that had been provided to help individuals maintain coverage during the COVID-19 pandemic. The Department of Health and Human Services now estimates that approximately 19.2 million Americans are enrolled in these plans.

Data from KFF indicates that without the additional subsidies, premiums saw a substantial rise of 58% in 2026, with deductibles increasing by about $1,000 per person. To compile its projections for 2027 rate increases, KFF analyzed filings submitted by 77 insurers across 16 states and Washington, D.C. Based on these latest proposals, premiums are on track to increase by more than 33% between 2025 and 2027.

Most marketplace enrollees earning less than 400% of the federal poverty level are still eligible for subsidies. Several insurers, including Centene and UnitedHealth, have reported elevated medical costs within their Obamacare businesses this year. Last year, CVS Health announced that its Aetna insurance unit would cease offering Obamacare plans in 2026 due to anticipated cost increases in that sector.

Frequently asked questions

Insurers are requesting a median premium increase of 14% for 2027, according to KFF data.

Key reasons include an expected increase in sicker patients, broader economic inflation, rising medication costs, and consolidation of medical providers.

Enrollment declined by 13% in 2026 following the expiration of COVID-19 era subsidies.

Premiums rose 58% and deductibles increased by approximately $1,000 per person without the subsidies.

What Happens Next

01Insurers must submit rate proposals to regulators by July 15.

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How It Developed

Insurers offering Obamacare plans are requesting a median premium increase of 14% for 2027.
This proposed rate represents the second-highest increase since 2018.
Insurers cite an expected increase in higher-risk patients and a decline in healthier enrollees.
Broader economic inflation and rising medication costs are also contributing factors.
Obamacare enrollment declined 13% in 2026 following the expiration of COVID-19 era subsidies.
Without subsidies, premiums rose 58% in 2026 and deductibles increased by approximately $1,000 per person.
KFF analyzed filings from 77 insurers in 16 states and Washington, D.C. for the data.
Between 2025 and 2027, premiums are on track to increase by over 33% based on current proposals.

Sources

T1
Obamacare insurers ask for second-highest premiums increase in nearly a decadeReuters

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