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Informal UN poll shows Grynspan leading race for next chief

Created at 30 Jul · 5:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

An informal UN Security Council poll shows Rebeca Grynspan of Costa Rica as the early frontrunner in the race to become the next secretary-general. Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett of Guyana followed Grynspan in the initial round of voting.

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Key Numbers

7candidates vying for UN chief position
15UN Security Council members
5veto-wielding permanent members of Security Council
10elected members of Security Council
193member UN General Assembly

Who's Involved

Rebeca Grynspan
former Costa Rican Vice President and early frontrunner for UN chief
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
former Guyanese Foreign Minister and second-place candidate in UN poll
Antonio Guterres
current UN Secretary-General stepping down at year-end
Rafael Grossi
head of the UN nuclear watchdog and candidate
Michelle Bachelet
former Chilean President and candidate
María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
former Ecuadorian Foreign Minister and candidate
Macky Sall
former Senegalese President and candidate
Olara Otunnu
Ugandan diplomat and candidate
Zenon Mukongo Ngay
UN ambassador for the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Security Council President
Informal UN poll shows Grynspan leading race for next chief

↳ Why This Matters

The selection of the next UN Secretary-General is significant as the chosen leader will face the critical task of revitalizing an organization in crisis and under pressure to reform its bureaucracy.

Key facts

  • An informal UN Security Council poll on Thursday showed Rebeca Grynspan of Costa Rica as the early frontrunner for the next secretary-general.
  • Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett of Guyana followed Grynspan in the initial round of voting.
  • The UN Security Council will hold multiple rounds of informal, non-binding straw polls to select a candidate.
  • Candidates are assessed based on whether Security Council members "encourage," "discourage," or have "no opinion."
  • The process could continue through late September or early October if no consensus candidate emerges.

The United Nations Security Council has commenced its initial round of informal straw polls to assess support for the seven candidates seeking to become the next Secretary-General. The process, which began on Thursday, aims to gauge the viability of contenders vying to replace Antonio Guterres when his term ends this year.

In the first informal poll, former Costa Rican Vice President Rebeca Grynspan emerged as the early frontrunner, followed by former Guyanese Foreign Minister Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett. These straw polls are non-binding and involve Security Council members indicating whether they "encourage," "discourage," or have "no opinion" on each candidate. The ballots are secret, and only Council members are present during the exercise.

The selection process is expected to involve multiple rounds of polling, potentially continuing through late September or early October, especially if no consensus candidate emerges. The Security Council ultimately adopts a resolution recommending an appointment to the 193-member UN General Assembly, which requires at least nine votes in favor and no vetoes from the five permanent members: China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Candidates in the running include Rafael Grossi (Argentina), Michelle Bachelet (Chile), Rebeca Grynspan (Costa Rica), María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés (Ecuador), Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett (Guyana), Macky Sall (Senegal), and Olara Otunnu (Uganda). The modalities for the straw polls were agreed upon by Council members, with specific attendance levels and the appointment of tellers. The results of the informal vote will be announced by the Council's President to members in the consultations room, with a concise announcement to the press expected without revealing specific results.

Frequently asked questions

A straw poll is an informal, non-binding vote conducted among the Security Council's 15 members to assess support for candidates for UN Secretary-General. Members indicate whether they "encourage," "discourage," or have "no opinion" on each candidate.

The current candidates include Rafael Grossi (Argentina), Michelle Bachelet (Chile), Rebeca Grynspan (Costa Rica), María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés (Ecuador), Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett (Guyana), Macky Sall (Senegal), and Olara Otunnu (Uganda).

The Security Council adopts a resolution recommending an appointment to the 193-member UN General Assembly. This requires at least nine votes in favor and no vetoes from the five permanent members.

Multiple rounds of polling may continue through late September or early October, depending on whether a consensus candidate emerges.

What Happens Next

01Additional rounds of informal straw polls will be conducted.
02The process is expected to conclude in late September or early October.
03The Security Council will adopt a resolution recommending a candidate to the General Assembly.

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Cadence

How It Developed

The UN Security Council began informal straw polls to assess support for seven candidates.
Rebeca Grynspan of Costa Rica emerged as the early frontrunner in the first poll.
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett of Guyana followed Grynspan in the initial voting.
The straw polls are non-binding and used to gauge candidate viability.
Multiple rounds of polling may occur through late September or early October.
The Security Council will ultimately recommend a candidate to the General Assembly.

Sources

T1
Informal poll shows Costa Rica's Grynspan ahead in race to be next UN chiefReuters
T2
First Security Council Straw Poll on UN Secretary-General Candidatessecuritycouncilreport.org
T2
UN Security Council holds first straw poll for next secretary-general ...thesheffieldpress.com
T2
UN to Hold Informal Polls for New UN Chief From Thursdayusnews.com

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