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California voter turnout goal remains elusive despite election changes

Created at 2 Jul · 2:10 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

California's efforts to boost voter turnout through easier voting access have not significantly improved participation, with recent primary turnout below levels seen in earlier decades. These changes have also led to extended ballot counting periods, drawing criticism.

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Key Numbers

40.8%June primary voter turnout
70%Primary turnout in the 1970s
81%Ballots counted within two days in 2004
66%Ballots counted within two days in 2024
9 in 10Voters using mail ballots in a special election
71%Turnout for the 2024 presidential election
5 percentage pointsDifference in presidential election turnout from 2004
51%Turnout for the 2022 midterms
36%California's adult population share that is white
50%Likely voters who are white
38%California's adult population share that is Latino
29%Likely voters who are Latino
5%California's adult population share that is Black
4%Likely voters who are Black
$29 millionBudget allocation to speed up vote counting

Who's Involved

Mindy Romero
Director of the Center for Inclusive Democracy, a nonpartisan research group
Donald Trump
President who criticized California's vote counting
Gavin Newsom
Governor of California whose office lamented the slow pace of vote counting

↳ Why This Matters

California's extended ballot counting process, a consequence of its efforts to increase voter access, has not yielded higher turnout and has become a point of political contention, raising questions about the effectiveness of election reforms and contributing to distrust in electoral processes.

Key facts

  • California's June primary turnout reached 40.8%, a figure that has not significantly improved despite changes aimed at increasing participation.
  • Efforts to make voting more accessible, such as universal mail-in ballots and extended counting periods, have not demonstrably boosted overall turnout.
  • The state's prolonged ballot counting process, sometimes taking weeks, has become a target for criticism and election conspiracy theories.
  • Demographic disparities in voter participation persist, with younger voters and voters of color showing lower turnout rates compared to older, white, affluent homeowners.
  • The Voter's Choice Act of 2016, designed to increase convenience through mail-in voting and voting centers, has not yielded significant improvements in turnout or representation.
  • California has allocated $29 million to expedite its vote counting process.

California is approaching the conclusion of its June 2 primary ballot count, a process that has been significantly prolonged by changes implemented over the years to enhance voter accessibility and turnout. Despite these efforts, data and expert analysis suggest that voter participation has not seen substantial improvement. Preliminary figures show turnout at 40.8%, an increase from recent primaries but lower than in several earlier elections and far below 1970s levels.

Experts like Mindy Romero, director of the Center for Inclusive Democracy, note that significant disparities in participation persist among younger voters and voters of color, with older, white, affluent homeowners remaining the most consistent voters. The state's extended tabulation period, which allows mail-in ballots to arrive up to seven days after Election Day if postmarked by then, and requires signature verification with opportunities for voters to resolve mismatches, contributes to the delay.

This drawn-out counting process has drawn criticism, including from President Donald Trump, and has been a target for unfounded election conspiracy theories. Even Governor Gavin Newsom's office has acknowledged the slow pace, and the state budget includes $29 million to expedite the counting.

The Voter's Choice Act of 2016, which aimed to make voting more convenient through statewide mail-in voting and the establishment of voting centers and ballot drop boxes, has not demonstrably achieved its goal of increasing turnout or creating a more representative electorate. Studies indicate that turnout has not consistently improved for any racial or ethnic group following its implementation. Data shows that while white individuals constitute 36% of California's adult population, they make up 50% of likely voters, whereas Latinos represent 38% of adults but only 29% of likely voters.

Frequently asked questions

Preliminary figures for the June primary show a turnout of 40.8%. This is an increase over the previous two primary elections but is below participation levels seen in several other primaries stretching back to 2000.

Experts and state data suggest that changes aimed at making voting easier and more accessible have not led to significant jumps in voter participation or representation.

The extended counting period is largely due to changes like universal mail-in ballots that can arrive up to seven days after Election Day if postmarked on time, signature verification processes, and opportunities for voters to resolve signature mismatches.

The Center for Inclusive Democracy indicates that younger voters and voters of color continue to have lower participation rates compared to older, white, more affluent homeowners.

What Happens Next

01Counties are required to complete their ballot counting by Thursday.
02California's budget includes funding to help speed up the state's vote counting.

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Cadence

How It Developed

California's June primary ballot counting is nearing completion.
Changes intended to boost voter turnout have not significantly improved participation.
Turnout in the June primary was 40.8%, lower than in some previous primaries.
Disparities in participation persist among younger voters and voters of color.
California's extended ballot counting process has drawn criticism and conspiracy theories.
The percentage of ballots counted within two days of Election Day has declined.
The Voter's Choice Act of 2016 aimed to increase convenience and turnout but had limited impact.
Turnout for recent presidential and midterm elections has not consistently improved for any racial or ethnic group.

Sources

T1
Goal of higher voter turnout remains elusive in California as changes have extended ballot countingAP News

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