Volatility Is at Its Lows Heading Into Its Strongest Two Months.

The range that trapped the market for three months is not a range anymore, and Tim Knight says it is now support. This was the biggest up bar since the spring, the Dow printed a lifetime high, and small caps undid weeks of selling in two sessions. The reason he is not in pain is blunt: he had cut his exposure to about 14 percent, and has only rebuilt to around half normal size. He is still not aggressive. His largest position remains long-dated bearish exposure to China, which he notes is one of the few things lower on a day like this, and he reads the continued slide in crude as the market pricing a durable peace rather than anything a headline can tell you. The part worth marking on your calendar is volatility, now crushed to the bottom of its usual range just as it enters the two months when it has historically tended to rise. All views are his. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 The range is now support 01:37 The Dow at a lifetime high 02:24 Small caps undo weeks of selling 03:01 Why he got down to 14% invested 04:38 His biggest position is still China 05:25 What crude says about the war 06:44 Volatility crushed back to the lows 07:24 August and September tend to wake it up 07:51 The clean chart patterns are gone #tastylive #timknight #vix #volatility #tradingcharts #stockmarket #smallcaps #chinastocks #crudeoil #investing tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.