Stock Correlation Just Hit A Twenty Six Year Low.

tastytrade3 hours ago29:08

Look at twenty six years of data on how much the stocks inside the index move together, and the current reading is the lowest in the entire set. Cem Karsan's @Kai-Media argument is that compressed index volatility forces individual names apart, and that when it releases they snap back together rather than drifting. He also explains the quarterly collar trade everyone references and nobody describes properly, why seasonality is a structural flow story rather than superstition, and makes the case that software is an overlooked inflation hedge because of how those businesses carry working capital. His views are his own. ๐Ÿ“Š tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ ๐Ÿ“ฐ Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters ๐Ÿ“˜ FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 ๐Ÿ“ฑ Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 0:00 August is officially over 1:15 Where volatility sits now 2:33 Correlation at a historic low 3:41 What happens when it reverts 4:43 Why August tends to change things 5:27 A relationship that broke down 6:48 Waiting for something to break it 7:31 Not a crash, a correction 9:10 Why upside skew keeps decaying 11:50 The quarterly collar explained 13:03 Why concentration matters more 14:23 Incentives behind the positioning 15:13 Seasonality is not superstition 17:33 What happens after the rally 19:06 Software as an inflation hedge 21:05 Cheap in an expensive world 22:17 Reading the Jackson Hole tone 27:01 Gold and bitcoin as dips #tastylive #correlation #volatility #vix #seasonality #softwarestocks #inflation #optionstrading #marketstructure #trading tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.