Cem Karsan Says You Can Bet on a Big Drop Without Shorting a Thing

tastytrade4 hours ago9:39

The tradeable idea out of a spirited tasty CRUMBS debate: Cem Karsan argues that if you expect a steep, volatile market drop in a narrow window, you do not have to short anything. You can express it asymmetrically with options, defined, low risk relative to a potentially large payout, which is a very different risk profile than being outright short. Jermal Chandler pushes back hard on the size of the move, and the back-and-forth over how far markets could realistically fall is the heart of the segment. 📊 tastylive: https://www.tastylive.com/ 📰 Get Tom's pre-market analysis every morning: https://www.tastylive.com/newsletters 📘 FREE Options Strategy Guide: https://tinyurl.com/bp9ms763 📱 Follow tastylive on X: https://x.com/tastyliveshow Chapters 00:00 Debating the size of the drop 00:45 Currencies are the real tell 01:20 The euro and French bonds 02:00 Could markets really drop that much 03:00 Markets are managed, to a point 04:30 The long-term capital management lesson 05:30 Leverage and the naked swimmers 06:30 You don't have to short it 07:00 An asymmetric options bet 07:30 Steep, volatile, and a narrow window #tastylive #tastycrumbs #cemkarsan #asymmetricbet #tailrisk #options #currencies #volatility #optionstrading #stockmarket tastylive is a real financial network, producing hours of live programming every day. Follow along as our experts navigate the markets, provide actionable trading insights, and teach you how to trade. With over 120 original segments, and over 25 personalities, we'll help you take your trading to the next level, whether you are new to trading or a seasoned veteran. tastylive content is created, produced, and provided solely by tastylive, Inc. ("tastylive") and is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not, nor is it intended to be, trading or investment advice or a recommendation that any security, futures contract, digital asset, other product, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any person. Trading securities, futures products, and digital assets involve risk and may result in a loss greater than the original amount invested. Investment information provided may not be appropriate for all investors and is provided without respect to individual investor financial sophistication, financial situation, investing time horizon or risk tolerance. Options, futures, and futures options are not suitable for all investors. Prior to trading securities, options, futures, or futures options, please read all applicable risk disclosures, including, but not limited to, the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options Disclosure and the Futures and Exchange Traded Options Risk Disclosure Statement found at https://tastytrade.com/disclosures/. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance is not presented net of all commissions, fees, and expenses. Multi-leg option strategies incur higher transaction costs than single leg trades as they involve multiple commission charges. Examples provided are for illustrative, informational, and educational purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Supporting documentation for any claims, including claims made on behalf of options programs), comparisons, statistics, or other technical data, if applicable, will be supplied upon request. tastylive, through its content, financial programming or otherwise, does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. tastylive is not a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, or a registered broker-dealer.