Key facts
- Goldman Sachs' baseline scenario projects nearly 10% of US workers could be displaced by AI.
Goldman Sachs economists estimate that artificial intelligence could displace up to 9% of US workers, equivalent to about 15 million people, in their baseline scenario. The bank's chief economist, Jan Hatzius, noted that AI adoption may accelerate during an economic downturn, potentially amplifying job losses.

Goldman Sachs' projections indicate a significant potential impact of AI on the US labor market, with implications for employment levels and economic stability. The analysis suggests that job displacement could be amplified during economic slowdowns.
Goldman Sachs economists have projected that artificial intelligence could lead to the displacement of nearly 10% of US workers in their baseline scenario. This projection, equivalent to about 15 million individuals, assumes a 15% rise in productivity in the US and other developed economies. The bank's chief economist, Jan Hatzius, noted that AI adoption might accelerate during an economic downturn, potentially intensifying job losses and amplifying the business cycle. Currently, less than a quarter of US firms have integrated AI into their regular workflows.
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