Key facts
- Over 100 million voters expected, with $3.8 billion spent on ads.
- Republicans hold slim majorities in both House (218-214) and Senate (53-47).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats in both chambers to win control.
- President Trump's approval rating is at a low of 32%.
Early voting is underway for the November 3, 2026, US midterm elections, where voters will elect members of the House of Representatives, Senate, and governors. More than 100 million people are expected to cast ballots, with $3.8 billion already spent on political advertisements. Top spending is focused on battleground US Senate races in Texas, Ohio, and Michigan. Elon Musk alone has spent approximately $366 million to support Republicans.
Democrats are aiming to win majority control of Congress. Currently, Republicans hold a 218-214 majority in the House and a 53-47 majority in the Senate. Democrats need a net gain of four seats in both chambers to secure control. Midterm elections can serve as a referendum on the sitting president's performance, and results can influence future presidential campaigns.
President Donald Trump's approval rating stands at an all-time low of 32%, according to a September Reuters/Ipsos poll. Domestic issues like rising consumer prices may impact the outcome, potentially eroding support for Republicans. Democrats appear more enthusiastic about voting this year, which could signal a Democratic win. There are also signs that Latino voters, who previously leaned towards Trump, might be returning to the Democratic party due to economic frustrations and immigration policies.
Recent midterm history shows significant shifts in power. In 2010, Republicans gained 63 House seats during President Obama's term. In 2018, Democrats gained 40 House seats during President Trump's term. Republicans currently control 55% of state legislative seats nationwide, while Democrats hold 43.8%.
If Democrats win the House, Representative Hakeem Jeffries is likely to become the next speaker, potentially launching investigations into the Trump administration and prioritizing legislative efforts on affordability. A Republican victory would maintain the speaker's gavel within the party, with priorities likely including tax cuts and increased defense spending.
Key races include Republican Representative Mike Lawler's reelection bid in New York and an open seat in a Nebraska swing district. Democrats are also targeting seats in Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Questions linger about potential interference from Donald Trump, who has repeatedly claimed widespread election cheating despite a lack of evidence.