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China's EV truck adoption reshapes global diesel demand

Created at 19 Aug · 10:06 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Global sales of electric trucks and buses surged in 2025, nearly doubling year-on-year to over half a million units, largely driven by China's dominant market share. This rapid electrification is beginning to impact global diesel consumption forecasts.

Key Numbers

500,000+global electric truck and bus sales in 2025
86%year-on-year sales increase for electric trucks and buses
90%China's share of global electric truck and bus sales
5xincrease in China's medium and heavy truck sales over two years
9,800EU battery electric bus sales volume
5,000India battery electric bus sales volume
41,000battery electric truck sales outside China
71%EU electric truck sales increase in 2025
4.5%EU electric truck market share in 2025
2xglobal medium- and heavy-duty electric truck sales increase between 2023-2024
90,000+global electric truck sales in 2024
22%China's share of new heavy-truck sales in H1 2025
9.2%
China's share of new heavy-truck sales in H1 2024
175%year-on-year rise in China's new energy truck sales in H1 2025
76,100China's new energy truck sales in H1 2025
46%expected electric truck share of new sales in China this year
60%expected electric truck share of new sales in China next year
25%China's share of new registrations for electric/new energy trucks in H1 2025
11%year-on-year decline in China's diesel consumption in June 2024
3.9Mbarrels a day of diesel consumption in China in June 2024
1M+barrels a day of oil demand cut by China's electric trucks
40%projected reduction in China's diesel use by 2030
11.3M tonsforecasted fall in China's diesel consumption this year

Who's Involved

International Council on Clean Transportation
research organization that published the report on electric truck and bus sales
China
drove global electric truck and bus sales growth
European Union
saw double-digit increase in electric truck and bus sales
India
saw double-digit increase in electric truck and bus sales
International Energy Agency (IEA)
reported global electric truck sales doubled between 2023-2024
Commercial Vehicle World
Beijing-based trucking data provider
Sublime China Information (SCI)
Chinese consulting firm that reported on new energy truck sales
BMI
British research firm that expects electric trucks to account for nearly 46% of new sales in China this year
BYD
major domestic manufacturer stepping up electric truck production
Sany
major domestic manufacturer stepping up electric truck production
FAW
major domestic manufacturer stepping up electric truck production
US Energy Information Administration
attributed decline in China's diesel consumption partly to electric trucks
Rhodium Group
US-based environmental think-tank estimating oil demand cuts from China's electric trucks
Rystad
energy consultancy firm forecasting reduced diesel consumption in China
China's EV truck adoption reshapes global diesel demand

↳ Why This Matters

The dramatic rise in electric truck and bus adoption, spearheaded by China, is significantly impacting global diesel demand and reshaping energy consumption patterns. This shift has implications for oil markets, environmental targets, and the future of the automotive and energy industries worldwide.

Key facts

  • Global electric truck and bus sales nearly doubled in 2025, exceeding 500,000 units.
  • China dominated global sales, accounting for nearly 90% of the market.
  • This rapid electrification is beginning to impact global diesel demand forecasts.
  • In the EU, electric truck sales increased by 71% in 2025, capturing a 4.5% market share.
  • China's diesel consumption fell 11% year-on-year in June 2024, partly due to the shift to electric trucks.

Global sales of electric trucks and buses surged in 2025, nearly doubling year-on-year to surpass half a million units, according to a report by the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT).

China was the primary driver of this growth, accounting for nearly 90% of global sales. The country's medium and heavy truck segments saw sales more than quintuple over a two-year period. The International Energy Agency (IEA) noted that global sales of these vehicles more than doubled between 2023 and 2024, with China responsible for over four-fifths of those sales.

In China, battery-powered trucks represented 22% of new heavy-truck sales in the first half of 2025, a significant increase from 9.2% in the same period of 2024. Consulting firm Sublime China Information (SCI) estimated that sales for new energy trucks in China rose 175% year-on-year to 76,100 units in the first half of 2025. Research firm BMI anticipates electric trucks will constitute nearly 46% of new sales in China this year and 60% next year.

Outside of China and the United States, battery electric buses made up 56% of zero-emission medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales. The European Union and India led in volume, with approximately 9,800 and 5,000 units sold, respectively. In the EU, electric truck sales grew by 71% in 2025, achieving a 4.5% market share. Battery electric truck sales remained relatively low globally outside China, reaching about 41,000 units sold.

The rapid adoption of electric trucks in China is beginning to reshape global diesel demand forecasts. Diesel consumption in China fell 11% year-on-year in June 2024, a decline partly attributed by the US Energy Information Administration to the shift towards electric and LNG trucks. The Rhodium Group estimates that China's electric trucks are already cutting oil demand by over one million barrels per day. Energy consultancy Rystad projects that China's transport sector will use 40% less diesel by 2030 compared to 2024 levels, reducing overall consumption by about a quarter.

Frequently asked questions

Global sales of electric trucks and buses crossed the half-million-unit mark in 2025, representing an 86% year-on-year increase.

China accounted for nearly 90% of global electric truck and bus sales in 2025.

In the EU, electric truck sales increased by 71% in 2025, reaching a market share of 4.5%.

China's electric trucks are estimated to be cutting oil demand by the equivalent of more than one million barrels a day.

What Happens Next

01China's electric trucks are expected to account for 60% of new sales next year.
02China's transport sector is projected to use 40% less diesel by 2030.
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How It Developed

Global electric truck and bus sales nearly doubled in 2025.
Sales crossed the half-million-unit mark globally, an 86% year-on-year increase.
China accounted for nearly 90% of global electric truck and bus sales.
Medium and heavy truck sales in China more than quintupled over two years.
Outside China and the US, battery electric buses represented 56% of zero-emission medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales.
The EU and India led in battery electric bus sales with approximately 9,800 and 5,000 units, respectively.
Battery electric truck sales outside China were about 41,000 units.
In the EU, electric truck sales rose 71% in 2025, reaching a 4.5% market share.

Sources

T1
China drove global electric truck, bus sales above half a million in 2025Reuters
T2
Why China's electric trucks are becoming world's biggest diesel ...business-standard.com

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