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BOJ may be forced to hike rates rapidly if inflation accelerates, board member Masu says

Created at 10 Sep · 2:28 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Bank of Japan board member Kazuyuki Masu said on Thursday that the central bank may need to rapidly raise interest rates if inflation accelerates. He noted that producer prices are rising and companies are passing on higher costs, which could push up consumer inflation more than in the past. Masu believes underlying inflation is close to the BOJ's 2% target and that the policy rate should be raised further to ensure flexibility.

Key Numbers

2%Bank of Japan inflation target
1.25%Expected Bank of Japan policy rate on September 18
1.75%Expected Bank of Japan policy rate in Q2 2027

Who's Involved

Kazuyuki Masu
Bank of Japan board member who said the BOJ may be forced to rapidly raise interest rates if inflation accelerates
Bank of Japan
central bank that may be forced to rapidly raise interest rates if inflation accelerates
BOJ may be forced to hike rates rapidly if inflation accelerates, board member Masu says

↳ Why This Matters

The comments from a Bank of Japan board member signal a potential shift towards tighter monetary policy sooner than expected, which could impact global interest rate expectations and currency markets, particularly the yen.

Key facts

  • Bank of Japan board member Kazuyuki Masu said the BOJ may be forced to rapidly raise interest rates if inflation accelerates.
  • Masu cited rising producer prices and companies passing on higher costs as reasons for potential consumer inflation acceleration.
  • He believes underlying inflation is close to the BOJ's 2% target.
  • Masu stated that the BOJ needs to raise its policy rate further to ensure flexibility.
  • A Reuters poll showed the BOJ is expected to hike rates to 1.25% on September 18 and to 1.75% in Q2 2027.

Bank of Japan board member Kazuyuki Masu said on Thursday that the central bank may be forced to rapidly raise interest rates if inflation accelerates, citing accommodative financial conditions and rising producer prices. Masu noted that companies are increasingly passing on higher costs from factors like the Middle East conflict and the weak yen, which could push up consumer inflation more than in the past. He believes underlying inflation is nearing the BOJ's 2% target and that the policy rate should be increased further to allow for swift adjustments based on economic conditions. A Reuters poll indicated that the BOJ is expected to raise interest rates to 1.25% on September 18 and then to 1.75% in the second quarter of 2027, earlier than previously anticipated, amid persistent concerns over broadening price pressures and yen weakness.

Frequently asked questions

The Bank of Japan's inflation target is 2%.

Accommodative financial conditions refer to a situation where borrowing is cheap and credit is readily available, encouraging spending and investment.

The neutral interest rate is a theoretical interest rate that neither stimulates nor restricts the economy. It is the rate at which monetary policy is neither expansionary nor contractionary.

What Happens Next

01The Bank of Japan is expected to hike interest rates to 1.25% on September 18.
02The Bank of Japan is expected to hike interest rates to 1.75% in the second quarter of 2027.

Discussion

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CME Headlines
  • Japanese Yen futures rally ahead of Bank of Japan rate decision.
    9 Sep · 8:33 PM
  • Japanese Yen futures rally ahead of Bank of Japan rate decision.
    9 Sep · 8:33 PM
  • Treasury expands bond buybacks.
    9 Sep · 3:52 PM

How It Developed

Bank of Japan board member Kazuyuki Masu said on Thursday that the central bank may be forced to rapidly raise interest rates if inflation accelerates.
Masu noted that rising producer prices warrant attention as they could push up consumer inflation more than in the past.
He stated that companies are actively passing on higher costs from the Middle East conflict and the weak yen.
Masu believes underlying inflation is close to the BOJ's 2% target.
He is convinced the BOJ needs to raise its policy rate further to ensure flexibility to adjust the policy rate in either direction depending on economic conditions.

Sources

T1
BOJ may be forced to hike rates rapidly if inflation accelerates, board member Masu saysReuters

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