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Bitcoin Surges 8.7% in Steepest Rally Since March, Flipping Prediction Markets

Created at 19 Aug · 10:25 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

Bitcoin surged as much as 8.7% on Wednesday, reaching an intraday high of $69,749, its largest one-day gain since March 4 and highest price since June 1. The rally followed a U.S. Treasury plan to double long-bond buybacks and significant short liquidations.

Key Numbers

8.7%Bitcoin's intraday price increase
$69,749Bitcoin's intraday high price
March 4Date of Bitcoin's last steepest one-day move
June 1Date of Bitcoin's last highest price
70-30Previous odds favoring bearish decline on Myriad
$4 billionNew long-bond buyback amount per operation
$1.14 billionTotal crypto short liquidations
$677.64 millionBitcoin short liquidations
$84,000Myriad prediction market pump target
$55,000Myriad prediction market dump target
51.9%Wednesday odds for Bitcoin dump on Myriad
48.1%Wednesday odds for Bitcoin pump on Myriad
$75,000Polymarket year-end price target
$67,500Kalshi August threshold
$70,284Next resistance line on Bitcoin chart
$73,245Potential price target above resistance
$68,000Support level for Bitcoin

Who's Involved

U.S. Treasury
Announced plan to double long-bond buybacks
Myriad
Prediction market where Bitcoin odds flipped
CoinGlass
Provided liquidation data for crypto shorts
SEC
Proposed easing registration rules for digital-asset offerings
Bitcoin Surges 8.7% in Steepest Rally Since March, Flipping Prediction Markets

↳ Why This Matters

Bitcoin's significant price jump and the subsequent shift in prediction market sentiment highlight the volatility and sensitivity of the cryptocurrency market to macroeconomic factors and short squeezes. The event underscores how unexpected policy changes and market mechanics can rapidly alter investor outlooks.

Key facts

  • Bitcoin's price increased by up to 8.7% on Wednesday, reaching an intraday high of $69,749.
  • This represents the largest single-day gain for Bitcoin since March 4.
  • The cryptocurrency's price reached its highest point since June 1.
  • The rally coincided with a U.S. Treasury plan to double its long-bond buybacks.
  • Over $1 billion in short liquidations occurred across the crypto market within an hour.

Bitcoin experienced its sharpest rally in five months on Wednesday, surging as much as 8.7% to an intraday high of $69,749. This significant move marks the steepest one-day gain since March 4 and the highest price the cryptocurrency has reached since June 1.

The rally appears to have been triggered by a U.S. Treasury announcement that it would at least double its long-bond buybacks to $4 billion per operation starting September 9. This action is expected to push down long-end yields and weaken the dollar, typically benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin by loosening financial conditions.

The timing of the rally also coincided with a White House meeting between crypto executives and regulators, and a fresh proposal from the SEC to ease registration rules for certain digital-asset offerings. This confluence of events created a favorable environment for crypto bulls.

The surge led to substantial short liquidations across the crypto market, with CoinGlass reporting over $1.14 billion wiped out in a single hour, $677.64 million of which was Bitcoin shorts. Crypto-linked stocks also followed Bitcoin higher, with Strategy, Coinbase, Circle, and BitMine all seeing gains.

Prediction markets reflected the sudden shift in sentiment. On Myriad, odds that had previously favored a bearish decline (around 70-30) flipped to a near coin flip within 24 hours. While year-end market predictions showed less immediate reaction, near-term indicators were caught off guard by the rapid price increase.

Frequently asked questions

The rally was primarily driven by a U.S. Treasury plan to double long-bond buybacks and a significant liquidation of short positions in the crypto market.

Bitcoin jumped as much as 8.7% on Wednesday, reaching an intraday high of $69,749.

It was Bitcoin's steepest one-day move since March 4 and its highest price since June 1, significantly altering sentiment in prediction markets.

The next resistance is around $70,284, with potential upside to $73,245 if breached. Support is noted at $68,000.

What Happens Next

01Bitcoin's next line in the sand is at $70,284, the lower edge of a resistance band.
02A daily close above $70,284 could open room toward $73,245.
03Losing $68,000 could drag Bitcoin back inside its trading range.
CME Headlines
  • Product Modification Summary: Add Offset Eligibility to Bitcoin Futures, Micro Bitcoin Futures, Ether Futures and Micro Ether Futures Contracts — Effective September 14, 2026
    19 Aug · 9:15 PM
  • Amendments to CME Rule 855. (“Offsetting Positions for Different-Sized Contracts”) – Contracts Eligible for Offset Table to Include Bitcoin Futures, Micro Bitcoin Futures, Ether Futures and Micro Ether Futures Contracts
    19 Aug · 7:45 PM

How It Developed

Bitcoin reached an intraday high of $69,749, an 8.7% increase.
This marks Bitcoin's steepest one-day move since March 4.
The price is the highest Bitcoin has reached since June 1.
Prediction market odds on Myriad shifted from favoring a bearish decline to a near coin flip.
The rally was triggered by a U.S. Treasury announcement to double long-bond buybacks.
Over $1 billion in crypto shorts were liquidated in a single hour.
Crypto-linked stocks also saw gains following Bitcoin's surge.

Sources

T1
Bitcoin's Sharpest Rally in Five Months Flips Markets From Bearish to Coin FlipDecrypt

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