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Australia home prices extend August decline as downturn deepens

Created at 31 Aug · 2:07 PM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

National home prices in Australia fell 0.9% in August, marking the fifth consecutive month of decline. The downturn has spread to more cities, with Sydney and Melbourne leading the falls, while previously booming markets like Brisbane and Perth also saw decreases. Weaker transaction activity and a lack of buyer confidence are contributing factors.

Key Numbers

0.9%August national home price decline
1.2%July national home price decline (downwardly revised)
3.6%Home prices below peak
2.7%Home prices higher than a year ago
1.4%Sydney home price decline in August
1.1%Melbourne home price decline in August
1.0%Brisbane home price decline in August
0.8%Perth home price decline in August
7.1%Sydney prices down from peak
15.5%Sales down year-on-year
4.35%Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate

Who's Involved

Cotality
property consultant providing housing data
Tim Lawless
Cotality's research director
Reserve Bank of Australia
central bank that has raised interest rates
Australia home prices extend August decline as downturn deepens

↳ Why This Matters

The deepening downturn in Australia's housing market signals potential headwinds for the broader economy, impacting sectors reliant on property and potentially leading to further interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Key facts

  • Australian national home prices fell 0.9% in August, extending a five-month decline.
  • Sydney and Melbourne saw the largest monthly price drops.
  • Previously strong markets like Brisbane and Perth also experienced price decreases.
  • Transaction activity is down 15.5% year-on-year, indicating a buyer's market with low confidence.
  • Government tax changes and anticipated interest rate hikes are expected to further pressure the housing sector.

Australian home prices continued their decline in August, falling 0.9% from July, marking the fifth consecutive month of decreases. The downturn has broadened across the country, with major cities like Sydney and Melbourne leading the falls, and previously strong markets such as Brisbane and Perth also experiencing price drops. National home values are now 3.6% below their peak, though still 2.7% higher year-on-year.

Property consultant Cotality reported that Sydney prices have fallen 7.1% from their February peak, a faster rate than the previous correction in 2022-23. Research director Tim Lawless attributed the softer trend to weaker transaction activity, with sales down 15.5% year-on-year, indicating a buyer's market where confidence is lacking.

The housing sector's slump has wide economic implications, affecting industries from construction to real estate services, and housing credit growth has already begun to slow. Little relief is expected as government tax changes have reduced investor demand, and the Reserve Bank of Australia has raised its cash rate three times this year to 4.35%. Markets anticipate further rate hikes following a recent hot inflation print.

Frequently asked questions

National home prices in Australia fell by 0.9% in August compared to July.

Sydney and Melbourne recorded the largest monthly declines, with falls of 1.4% and 1.1% respectively.

Weaker transaction activity, a lack of buyer confidence, government tax changes, and rising interest rates are contributing factors.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate is currently 4.35%.

What Happens Next

01Markets are pricing in another interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia this year.

How It Developed

National home prices fell 0.9% in August, a fifth consecutive monthly decline.
Sydney and Melbourne led the monthly price drops.
Boom markets like Brisbane and Perth also recorded price falls.
Transaction activity has decreased significantly, with sales down 15.5% year-on-year.
Government tax changes have cooled investor demand.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised interest rates three times this year, with further hikes anticipated.

Sources

T1
Australia's home prices extend declines in August as downturn deepensReuters

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