Key facts
- AI could boost US GDP to $44 trillion by 2030, an increase from over $30 trillion.
- Anthropic's economic model suggests AI will vastly increase scientific discovery.
- Clark called for international cooperation on 'unusual and serious rules' for AI.
Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark stated on Saturday that rapidly improving artificial intelligence capabilities will drive faster change across all sectors. He cited an internal economic model from Anthropic that forecasts US economic output could expand to $44 trillion by 2030, a significant increase from the current level of just over $30 trillion. Clark acknowledged the figure sounds "outlandish" but attributed it to AI's continuous improvement and its potential to drive scientific discovery. He emphasized the need for international cooperation to establish regulations for this transformative technology. Anthropic's report outlines three scenarios for AI's economic impact, with the "extreme" scenario projecting GDP growth of up to 15% annually, potentially doubling the economy in 4.5 years. However, this scenario also suggests a shift in income distribution, with labor's share potentially falling to 45.2% and capital's rising to 54.8%, alongside risks of increased unemployment and stagnant wages for knowledge workers.