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AfD's Rise in East Germany: A Legacy of Unfulfilled Promises

Created at 3 Sep · 2:46 AM1 source↑ Market-relevant
IN SHORT

The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is gaining traction in eastern Germany, fueled by lingering resentments over post-unification economic disparities and cultural identity. The party's lead candidate in Saxony-Anhalt is close to becoming the first far-right leader to govern a German state since 1945.

Key Numbers

1945year since last far-right leader governed a German state
1989year of anti-communist demonstrations in East Germany
2015year of mass asylum seeker influx into Germany
1 million+refugees accepted by Germany

Who's Involved

Ulrich Siegmund
Lead candidate for the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party
Angela Merkel
Former Chancellor of Germany, criticized for post-unification policies and refugee decisions
Friedrich Merz
Current leader of the CDU, criticized for communication style and economic impact
Helmut Kohl
Former Chancellor of Germany, oversaw reunification
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Ukrainian President, mentioned by AfD supporters
Detlef Pollack
Sociologist diagnosing "victim mythology" in eastern Germany
AfD's Rise in East Germany: A Legacy of Unfulfilled Promises

↳ Why This Matters

The growing strength of the AfD in eastern Germany poses a significant challenge to the established political order and raises profound questions about the success of German reunification and the future of the country's political landscape. It highlights deep-seated societal divisions and the potential for far-right parties to gain governmental power.

Key facts

  • The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is experiencing a surge in support in eastern Germany.
  • AfD's lead candidate Ulrich Siegmund is nearing a potential victory in the Saxony-Anhalt election.
  • Many eastern Germans feel neglected and economically disadvantaged since reunification.
  • Past policies, including Angela Merkel's refugee intake and perceived economic stagnation, are cited as reasons for the AfD's appeal.
  • The AfD is leveraging historical grievances and a sense of distinct eastern identity.

The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is experiencing a significant rise in eastern Germany, with its lead candidate Ulrich Siegmund in Saxony-Anhalt positioned to potentially become the first far-right leader of a German state since 1945. This surge is fueled by a complex mix of lingering resentments over the post-unification transition, economic disparities, and a distinct eastern German identity that feels overlooked by the federal government.

Supporters of the AfD express a sense of betrayal by mainstream politicians like former Chancellor Angela Merkel and current CDU leader Friedrich Merz, feeling that their concerns are ignored and their tax money is misspent. The party is actively repurposing historical slogans, such as "Wir sind das Volk" from the 1989 protests against communism, to mobilize support. Some individuals articulate a desire for a more "German" identity, distinct from what they perceive as "America-Germany" influenced by the West.

Angela Merkel's decision in 2015-2016 to allow a large influx of asylum seekers is frequently cited as a turning point that alienated many easterners. This, coupled with a perceived "victim mythology" where three-quarters of AfD-leaning voters feel unified Germany has wronged them, contributes to the party's appeal. The economic reality of eastern Germany, which has consistently grown slower than the West since the 1990s due to lower productivity and brain drain, further exacerbates these feelings.

Journalists attempting to cover AfD events have faced intimidation and physical obstruction, highlighting the party's control over its campaign spaces and the sometimes hostile reception for "mainstream" press. The broader economic challenges facing Germany, including potential job losses in key industries like automotive manufacturing, also contribute to a disillusionment with the Federal Republic's prosperity model in the East.

Frequently asked questions

The election is vital because the AfD's lead candidate, Ulrich Siegmund, is close to becoming the first far-right leader to govern a German state since 1945, which would be a historic political shift.

Support is driven by a sense of neglect since reunification, economic disparities compared to western Germany, a desire for a distinct eastern identity, and dissatisfaction with mainstream parties' policies, particularly regarding immigration and perceived economic mismanagement.

Merkel's decision on refugee intake and Merz's perceived communication struggles and the broader economic downturn have alienated some easterners, who feel betrayed and that their concerns are not adequately addressed by these leaders.

Since the 1990s, the East German economy has generally grown slower than the West, attributed to lower company productivity, brain drain, and a low rate of business formation. New defense industries, seen as drivers of prosperity, are largely based in the West.

What Happens Next

01Saxony-Anhalt election results are expected on Sunday.
02Potential implications for the future of German federal politics and inter-state relations will be assessed.

How It Developed

Ulrich Siegmund, AfD lead candidate, spoke of a new "awakening" in eastern Germany.
Siegmund is close to becoming the first far-right leader to govern a German state since 1945.
East German identity and perceived neglect by western politicians are fueling the AfD's rise.
AfD supporters express resentment over tax money being sent abroad instead of invested domestically.
The AfD is repurposing the 1989 slogan "Wir sind das Volk" for its own political agenda.
Some eastern Germans feel "betrayed" by leaders like Merkel and Merz, believing they are being "kept down on purpose."
Journalist faced physical intimidation and was barred from reporting near AfD events.
Angela Merkel's decision to allow mass asylum seeker influx in 2015-2016 is cited as a key factor in the AfD's growth.

Sources

T1
How Merkel and Merz lost eastern Germany to the AfDPOLITICO Europe

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