U.S. single-family housing starts experienced a significant downturn in July, falling 9.9% to an annual rate of 808,000 units, the lowest since February 2021. This decline, attributed to high mortgage rates and limited inventory, was accompanied by a 2.3% drop in pending home sales for the month, reaching their lowest point since January 2026. In contrast, Canadian home sales rose for the fourth consecutive month in July, increasing by 0.5%, with prices also seeing a slight uptick. The Canadian market saw a decrease in new listings, pushing the sales-to-new listings ratio towards its long-term average.
Key Numbers
9.9%U.S. single-family housing starts decline in July
808,000U.S. single-family housing starts annual rate in July
2.3%U.S. pending home sales decline in July
2.2%U.S. pending home sales year-over-year decline in July
0.5%Canadian home sales month-over-month increase in July
0.1%Canadian Home Price Index increase in July
Who's Involved
National Association of Realtors
organization reporting on U.S. pending home sales
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Key facts
U.S. single-family housing starts fell 9.9% in July.
U.S. single-family housing starts reached an annual rate of 808,000 units in July.
The July U.S. single-family housing starts rate is the lowest since February 2021.
Pending home sales in the U.S. declined 2.3% in July.
U.S. pending home sales fell 2.2% year-over-year in July.
July U.S. pending home sales reached their lowest level since January 2026.
Canadian home sales rose 0.5% month-over-month in July.
Canadian home sales increased for the fourth consecutive month in July.
The Canadian Home Price Index increased 0.1% in July.
July marked the first rise in the Canadian Home Price Index since November 2024.
Newly listed properties declined in Canada in July.
In July, U.S. single-family housing starts saw a sharp decline, dropping 9.9% to an annualized rate of 808,000 units. This figure represents the lowest level of single-family homebuilding since February 2021. Despite an increase in permits for future construction, overall market conditions remain subdued. High mortgage rates and a persistent shortage of available homes are cited as primary factors dampening the market.
Further illustrating the weakness in the U.S. housing sector, pending home sales fell by 2.3% in July compared to June. On a year-over-year basis, pending sales were down 2.2%, reaching their lowest point since January 2026. The National Association of Realtors noted that elevated mortgage rates and record-high home prices are significantly impacting affordability across most regions of the United States.
Conversely, the Canadian housing market demonstrated resilience in July. Home sales in Canada increased for the fourth month in a row, with a month-over-month rise of 0.5%. The Home Price Index also experienced a slight increase of 0.1% from the previous month, marking the first price growth since November 2024. The market dynamics were influenced by a decline in newly listed properties, which helped push the sales-to-new listings ratio closer to its long-term average.
↳ Why This Matters
In July, U.S. single-family housing starts saw a sharp decline, dropping 9.9% to an annualized rate of 808,000 units. This figure represents the lowest level of single-family homebuilding since February 2021. Despite an increase in permits for future construction, overall market conditions remain subdued. High mortgage rates and a persistent shortage of available homes are cited as primary factors dampening the market.
Frequently asked questions
The decline was primarily driven by higher mortgage rates and the inventory of unsold new homes on the market, which impacted affordability.
Single-family housing starts fell sharply, but permits for future single-family construction and overall residential construction permits saw increases.
The contract rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage remains near its highest in over a year, despite a slight recent dip.
What Happens Next
01Monitor future housing starts and permit data for trends.
02Observe mortgage rate movements and their impact on affordability.
03Track homebuilder sentiment and construction costs.